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Amdocs Limited (NASDAQ:DOX) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Amdocs Limited (NASDAQ:DOX) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Amdocs有限公司(納斯達克:DOX)股票一直在下跌,但基本面看起來不錯:市場會在未來糾正股價嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  12/13 06:08

It is hard to get excited after looking at Amdocs' (NASDAQ:DOX) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.6% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Amdocs' ROE today.

看了Amdocs(納斯達克股票代碼:DOX)最近的表現,很難感到興奮,當時其股票在過去一個月中下跌了4.6%。但是,從長遠來看,股票價格通常由公司的財務狀況驅動,在這種情況下,這看起來相當可觀。特別是,我們今天將關注Amdocs的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司價值增長和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

投資回報率是如何計算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Amdocs is:

因此,根據上述公式,Amdocs的投資回報率爲:

14% = US$496m ÷ US$3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

14% = 4.96億美元 ÷ 35億美元(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.14 in profit.

「回報」 是每年的利潤。這意味着,每獲得價值1美元的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.14美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效利潤指標。然後,根據公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 的金額及其有效性,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤保留率高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司的增長率更高。

Amdocs' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

Amdocs的收益增長和14%的投資回報率

To start with, Amdocs' ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 13%. Despite this, Amdocs' five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that's limiting the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

首先,Amdocs的投資回報率似乎可以接受。此外,該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的13%相似。儘管如此,在過去五年中,Amdocs的五年淨收入增長仍相當平緩。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他一些因素在起作用,限制了公司的增長。例如,該公司將其收益的很大一部分作爲股息支付,或者面臨競爭壓力。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 6.4% over the last few years.

接下來,與行業淨收入增長相比,我們發現該行業的收益在過去幾年中增長了6.4%。

big
NasdaqGS:DOX Past Earnings Growth December 13th 2024
NASDAQGS: DOX 過去的收益增長 2024 年 12 月 13 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is DOX worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether DOX is currently mispriced by the market.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。DOX 今天的價值是多少?我們免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖有助於可視化DOX目前是否被市場錯誤定價。

Is Amdocs Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Amdocs是否在有效利用其利潤?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 35% (meaning the company retains65% of profits) in the last three-year period, Amdocs' earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管在過去三年中,Amdocs的三年派息率中位數爲35%(這意味着公司保留了65%的利潤),但其收益增長基本持平。因此,可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。

Additionally, Amdocs has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 24% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 21% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,Amdocs已在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着即使收益增長微乎其微,公司的管理層也決心支付股息。現有的分析師估計表明,該公司未來的派息率預計將在未來三年降至24%。派息率的下降可以解釋該公司的投資回報率預計將在同期上升至21%。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like Amdocs has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,看起來Amdocs的業務確實有一些積極的方面。但是,低收益增長有點令人擔憂,特別是考慮到該公司的回報率很高,並且正在將很大一部分利潤再投資。從表面上看,可能還有其他一些因素阻礙了增長,這些因素不一定是業務的控制。話雖如此,從分析師目前的估計來看,我們發現該公司的收益增長率預計將出現巨大改善。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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