Is Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,韋爾度假村有限公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:MTN)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。
What Is Vail Resorts's Net Debt?
韋爾度假村的淨負債是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Vail Resorts had US$2.37b in debt in October 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$403.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.97b.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖表顯示,韋爾度假村在2024年10月的債務爲23.7億美元;與前一年大致相同。但是,由於其現金儲備爲4.038億美元,其淨負債較少,約爲19.7億美元。
How Strong Is Vail Resorts' Balance Sheet?
韋爾度假村的資產負債表有多強?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Vail Resorts had liabilities of US$1.36b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$3.53b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$403.8m in cash and US$130.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.36b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根據上次報告的資產負債表,韋爾度假村在12個月內到期的負債爲13.6億美元,12個月以後到期的負債爲35.3億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有4.038億美元的現金和1.302億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出43.6億美元。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$7.21b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
相對於其72.1億美元的市值,這是一座巨大的槓桿率。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們債務水平與收益的關係。第一個是淨負債除以扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)抵消利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。
Vail Resorts has net debt worth 2.4 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.7 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Vail Resorts grew its EBIT by 3.6% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vail Resorts's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
韋爾度假村的淨負債價值是息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的2.4倍,這並不算多,但其利息保障範圍看起來有點偏低,息稅前利潤僅爲利息支出的3.7倍。儘管這些數字並沒有使我們感到震驚,但值得注意的是,公司的債務成本正在產生實際影響。去年,韋爾度假村的息稅前利潤增長了3.6%。儘管這幾乎無法使我們大吃一驚,但在債務方面卻是一個積極因素。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定韋爾度假村未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Vail Resorts produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,我們總是檢查該息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,韋爾度假村產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的69%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Vail Resorts was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For example, its interest cover makes us a little nervous about its debt. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Vail Resorts's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Vail Resorts (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
在資產負債表方面,Vail Resorts最顯著的積極因素是,它似乎能夠自信地將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流。但是,我們的其他觀察結果並不那麼令人鼓舞。例如,它的利息保障使我們對它的債務有些緊張。查看所有這些數據使我們對韋爾度假村的債務水平感到有些謹慎。儘管我們意識到債務可以提高股本回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免債務增加。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了韋爾度假村的兩個警告標誌(其中一個有點令人擔憂),你應該注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,那麼請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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