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Markets Weekly Update (December 13) : Tesla's Stock Price Hits a New High

Markets Weekly Update (December 13) : Tesla's Stock Price Hits a New High

市場週報(12月13日):特斯拉股價達到新高
moomoo資訊 ·  12/13 20:58

Macro Matters

宏觀問題

The U.S. November CPI was on target with what was expected

美國11月CPI符合預期

The annual inflation rate in the US rose for a 2nd consecutive month to 2.7% in November 2024 from 2.6% in October, in line with expectations. The rise is partly influenced by low base effects from last year. Energy costs declined less (-3.2% vs -4.9% in October), mainly due to gasoline (-8.1% vs -12.2%) and fuel oil (-19.5% vs -20.8%) while natural gas prices rose 1.8%, compared to 2%. Also, inflation accelerated for food (2.4% vs 2.1%) and prices fell much less for new vehicles (-0.7% vs -1.3%). On the other hand, inflation slowed for shelter (4.7% vs 4.9%) and transportation (7.1% vs 8.2%) and prices continued to decline for used cars and trucks (-3.4%, the same as in October). On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.3%, the most since April, slightly above October's 0.2%, and also matching forecasts. The index for shelter rose 0.3%, accounting for nearly 40% of increase. The core CPI rose 3.3% on the year and 0.3% on the month, the same as in October and in line with forecasts.

美國的年度通脹率在2024年11月連續第二個月上升至2.7%,高於10月的2.6%,符合預期。這一上升部分受到去年的低基數效應影響。能源成本下降幅度較小(-3.2% 對比10月的-4.9%),主要是由於汽油(-8.1% 對比-12.2%)和燃料油(-19.5% 對比-20.8%),而天然氣價格上漲了1.8%,相比之下之前是2%。與此同時,食品的通脹加速(2.4% 對比2.1%),而新車的價格下降幅度較小(-0.7% 對比-1.3%)。另一方面,住房的通脹放緩(4.7% 對比4.9%)和運輸(7.1% 對比8.2%),二手車和卡車的價格繼續下降(-3.4%,與10月持平)。按月計算,CPI上升了0.3%,是自4月以來的最大增幅,略高於10月的0.2%,也符合預期。住房指數上升了0.3%,佔總增長的近40%。核心CPI同比上漲3.3%,環比上漲0.3%,與10月持平,符合預期。

The U.S. November PPI exceeded forecasts

美國11月PPI超出預期

Producer prices in the US increased 3% year-on-year in November 2024, the biggest rise since February 2023, compared to an upwardly revised 2.6% gain in October and above forecasts of 2.6%. Producer Prices Change in the United States averaged 3.07 percent from 1950 until 2024, reaching an all-time high of 19.57 percent in November of 1974 and a record low of -6.86 percent in July of 2009.

美國的生產者價格在2024年11月同比上漲3%,是自2023年2月以來的最大漲幅,較10月修正後的2.6%增幅有所上升,並高於2.6%的預期。美國生產者價格變動自1950年至2024年平均爲3.07%,在1974年11月達到歷史最高19.57%,而在2009年7月則達到歷史最低-6.86%。

The Chinese government announced a more proactive fiscal policy and a "moderately loose" monetary policy.

中國政府宣佈採取更加積極的財政政策和「適度寬鬆」的貨幣政策。

The meeting proposed an even more proactive fiscal policy than the moderately enhanced proactive fiscal policy put forward at the 2023 Politburo meeting, indicating a higher stance and greater intensity. This suggests that, based on the introduction of "incremental fiscal policies," there is considerable room for anticipation regarding the intensity of fiscal policy in 2025, particularly in terms of the scale and ratio of the deficit.

會議提出的財政政策比2023年政治局會議提出的適度增強型積極財政政策更加積極,表明立場更加高位、力度更大。這表明,基於引入「增量財政政策」的基礎上,2025年財政政策力度的預期空間相當大,特別是在赤字的規模和比例方面。

The monetary policy statement is the most straightforward. Following the 2008 financial tsunami, the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee announced the promotion of a "moderately loose" monetary policy, which was then changed to prudent in 2010. Now, after a 14-year interval, the policy has shifted back to a moderately loose monetary policy.

貨幣政策聲明是最簡單明瞭的。2008年金融風暴後,中國共產黨中央政治局宣佈實施「適度寬鬆」的貨幣政策,並於2010年改爲審慎政策。現在,在14年後,這一政策再次轉向適度寬鬆的貨幣政策。

Smart Money Flow

智能資金流動

U.S. Equity ETFs saw an inflow of $149 Billion in November, the largest monthly inflow in history.

美國股票ETF在11月份流入了1490億,是歷史上最大的月度流入。

The S&P 500 has made new highs in December, but every day of the month so far has seen more stocks down than up.

S&P 500在12月份創下新高,但到目前爲止,這個月的每一天跌的股票數量都超過上漲的股票數量。

China bought the dip in gold for the first time since April, China increased its Gold Reserves.

中國在4月份以來首次買入黃金,並且中國增加了黃金儲備。

Top Corporate News

頭條公司新聞

Google has launched the Willow quantum chip, sparking a surge in quantum computing stocks!

谷歌推出了Willow量子芯片,帶動了量子計算股票的激增!

On Wednesday, Alphabet shares (GOOGL) closed up 5.46%, with the stock price rising to $196.71. The company has unveiled its latest quantum computing chip, Willow, which is causing a significant stir in the global tech community. According to Google, this tiny chip can perform calculations that would take supercomputers billions of years to complete in just five minutes! An increasing number of tech giants are joining in the commercialization of quantum computing chips, vying for future market share in areas such as artificial intelligence, drug development, energy, and the acceleration of Bitcoin mining. IonQ predicts that the quantum computing market will grow to $65 billion by 2030 and soar to $850 billion by 2040. However, the market remains volatile because many quantum computing applications are still in the developmental stage. Given the emerging nature of this technology and the market's unpredictability, investing in quantum computing stocks involves inherent risks.

週三,字母表公司(GOOGL)的股價上漲了5.46%,股價達到196.71美元。該公司推出了其最新的量子計算芯片Willow,在全球科技社區引發了重大轟動。據谷歌介紹,這個微小的芯片可以在五分鐘內完成超級計算機需要數十億年才能完成的計算!越來越多的科技巨頭正在參與量子計算芯片的商業化,爭奪未來在人工智能、藥物開發、能源和比特幣挖礦加速等領域的市場份額。IonQ預測,到2030年量子計算市場將增長到650億,到2040年將飆升至8500億。然而,由於許多量子計算應用仍處於開發階段,市場仍然波動。考慮到這一技術的新興性質和市場的不確定性,投資量子計算股票涉及內在風險。

Tesla Stock Hits Record High, Affordable Model Expected in 2025, Analysts Raise Targets

特斯拉股票創下新高,預計2025年推出經濟型車型,分析師提高目標價

On Wednesday, Tesla's stock price soared to a three-year high, closing at $424.77. Prior to this, Chief Investor Relations Officer Travis Axelrod announced plans to launch an affordable model, the Model Q, next year. It is expected that after subsidies, the price will be below $30,000. The overseas price is estimated to be around $25,000, and the models produced at the Shanghai factory may be priced at approximately 140,000 yuan, which is nearly 40% lower than the current starting price of China's "entry-level" Model 3, which is 231,900 yuan. Several major banks have also raised their target prices for Tesla.

週三,特斯拉股價飆升至三年來的新高,收盤價爲424.77美元。在此之前,首席投資關係官特拉維斯·阿克斯羅德宣佈計劃在明年推出一款經濟型車型——Model Q。預計在補貼後,價格將低於30,000美元。境外價格預計在25,000美元左右,而在上海工廠生產的車型價格可能約爲14萬元,相較於當前中國"入門級" Model 3的起售價231,900元,降幅接近40%。幾家主要銀行也提高了對特斯拉的目標價。

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas recently raised Tesla's price target from $310 to $400, calling it a "top pick." According to Jonas, this adjustment reflects excitement about Tesla's role in emerging industries like artificial intelligence (AI), renewable energy, robotics, and on-shoring production. These sectors are key drivers for the company's growth in a world increasingly focused on green energy and advanced technology.

摩根士丹利分析師亞當·喬納斯最近將特斯拉的目標價從310美元上調至400美元,稱其爲"頂級推薦"。根據喬納斯的說法,這一調整反映了對特斯拉在人工智能(AI)、可再生能源、機器人和在岸生產等新興產業中角色的興奮。這些領域是公司在日益關注綠色能源和愛文思控股科技背景下增長的關鍵驅動因素。

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