Fed's December Meeting Could Crush Rate Cut Optimism For 2025
Fed's December Meeting Could Crush Rate Cut Optimism For 2025
聯儲局的12月會議可能會打擊2025年的減息樂觀預期
Traders betting big on aggressive Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025 might be in for a brutal reality check as soon as next week.
交易者們在2025年對積極的聯邦儲備利率削減押注，可能會在下週面臨殘酷的現實檢查。
At the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on Dec. 18, policymakers are expected to signal a more cautious approach, with only three interest rate cuts projected for next year.
在即將舉行的12月18日的聯邦儲備會議上，政策制定者預計將發出更加謹慎的信號，明年只預計會有三次利率削減。
The insight came from a Bloomberg survey of economists which showed the Fed's median "dot plot" is likely to forecast a federal funds rate range of 3.5%-3.75% by December 2025, reflecting just three rate cuts.
這一見解來自彭博社對經濟學家的調查，顯示聯儲局的中位"點陣圖"預計到2025年12月聯邦基金利率區間爲3.5%-3.75%，反映出僅有三次利率削減。
But traders are betting on a much bolder move.
但交易者們押注於更大膽的舉動。
Data from CFTC-regulated Kalshi, a...
來自CFTC...
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