Shanghai Golden Union Commercial Management Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603682) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
Shanghai Golden Union Commercial Management Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603682) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd (SHSE:603682) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 55% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's ROE today.
上海金聯商業管理有限公司(SHSE: 603682)在股票市場上表現良好,其股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了55%。但是,在本文中,我們決定重點關注其疲軟的基本面,因爲企業的長期財務表現是最終決定市場業績的因素。特別是,我們今天將關注上海金聯商業管理有限公司的投資回報率。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
ROE或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得的投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它揭示了該公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算股本回報率?
The formula for return on equity is:
股本回報率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd is:
因此,根據上述公式,上海金聯商業管理有限公司的投資回報率爲:
2.1% = CN¥23m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
2.1% = 2300萬元人民幣 ÷ 11元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.
「回報」 是每年的利潤。對此進行概念化的一種方法是,該公司每擁有1元人民幣的股本即可獲得0.02元人民幣的利潤。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,ROE衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。根據公司選擇再投資或 「保留」 的利潤金額,我們隨後能夠評估公司未來的盈利能力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤保留率高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司的增長率更高。
A Side By Side comparison of Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.1% ROE
上海金聯商業管理有限公司的收益增長和2.1%的投資回報率的並排比較
As you can see, Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 3.8%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 21% seen by Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
如你所見,上海金聯商業管理有限公司的投資回報率看起來相當疲軟。不僅如此,即使與3.8%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的投資回報率也完全不引人注目。因此,說上海金聯商業管理有限公司五年淨收入下降21%可能是其投資回報率降低的結果,這可能沒有錯。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的盈利前景產生負面影響。例如,該公司的派息率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。
Furthermore, even when compared to the industry, which has been shrinking its earnings at a rate of 11% over the last few years, we found that Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's performance is pretty disappointing, as it suggests that the company has been shrunk its earnings at a rate faster than the industry.
此外,即使與該行業相比,該行業在過去幾年中一直以11%的速度萎縮收益,我們也發現上海金聯商業管理有限公司的表現相當令人失望,因爲這表明該公司縮減收益的速度快於該行業。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查一下相對於其行業,上海金聯商業管理有限公司的市盈率是高還是低。
Is Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
上海金聯商業管理有限公司是否有效地將其利潤再投資?
Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's high three-year median payout ratio of 178% suggests that the company is depleting its resources to keep up its dividend payments, and this shows in its shrinking earnings. Paying a dividend higher than reported profits is not a sustainable move. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd.
上海金聯商業管理有限公司三年來最高的派息率中位數爲178%,這表明該公司正在耗盡資源以維持股息支付,這體現在其收益萎縮上。支付高於報告利潤的股息不是可持續的舉動。我們的風險儀表板應包含我們爲上海金聯商業管理有限公司確定的4種風險。
In addition, Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd has been paying dividends over a period of four years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.
此外,上海金聯商業管理有限公司在四年內一直在派發股息,這表明儘管收益有所下降,但管理層仍傾向於繼續支付股息。
Summary
摘要
In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd. Particularly, its ROE is a huge disappointment, not to mention its lack of proper reinvestment into the business. As a result its earnings growth has also been quite disappointing. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.
總的來說,在決定任何有關上海金聯商業管理有限公司的投資行動之前,我們會經過深思熟慮。特別是,其投資回報率令人非常失望,更不用說缺乏對該業務的適當再投資了。因此,其收益增長也相當令人失望。到目前爲止,我們僅就公司的收益增長進行了簡短的討論。因此,可能值得查看這張免費的上海金聯商業管理有限公司過去收益以及收入和現金流的詳細圖表,以更深入地了解該公司的業績。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。