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Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Changbai Mountain Tourism Co., Ltd.'s SHSE:603099) Stock?

Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In Changbai Mountain Tourism Co., Ltd.'s SHSE:603099) Stock?

強勁的財務前景是推動長白山旅遊股份有限公司(SHSE:603099)股價上漲的動力嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06:53

Most readers would already be aware that Changbai Mountain Tourism's (SHSE:603099) stock increased significantly by 132% over the past three months. Since the market usually pay for a company's long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company's key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Specifically, we decided to study Changbai Mountain Tourism's ROE in this article.

大多數讀者已經意識到,長白山旅遊(SHSE: 603099)的股票在過去三個月中大幅增長了132%。由於市場通常會爲公司的長期基本面買單,因此我們決定研究公司的關鍵績效指標,看看它們是否會影響市場。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究長白山旅遊的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東要考慮的重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

投資回報率是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Changbai Mountain Tourism is:

因此,根據上述公式,長白山旅遊的投資回報率爲:

11% = CN¥134m ÷ CN¥1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

11% = 13400萬元人民幣 ÷ 12元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.11.

「回報」 是過去十二個月的利潤。因此,這意味着該公司每投資1元人民幣,就會產生0.11元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,ROE衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。我們現在需要評估公司再投資或 「保留」 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,這樣我們就可以了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切都保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Changbai Mountain Tourism's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

長白山旅遊業的收益增長和11%的投資回報率

At first glance, Changbai Mountain Tourism seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.0%. Probably as a result of this, Changbai Mountain Tourism was able to see an impressive net income growth of 29% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

乍一看,長白山旅遊業的投資回報率似乎不錯。此外,該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的8.0%相比相當不錯。可能是由於這個原因,長白山旅遊在過去五年中實現了29%的驚人淨收入增長。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如——高收益留存率或實行高效管理。

As a next step, we compared Changbai Mountain Tourism's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 11%.

下一步,我們將長白山旅遊的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,令人高興的是,我們發現該公司的增長高於11%的行業平均增長。

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SHSE:603099 Past Earnings Growth December 13th 2024
SHSE: 603099 過去的收益增長 2024 年 12 月 13 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Changbai Mountain Tourism fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水,還是沼澤的水域在等着你。與其他公司相比,長白山旅遊的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Changbai Mountain Tourism Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

長白山旅遊是否有效地將利潤再投資?

Changbai Mountain Tourism has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 15%, meaning that it has the remaining 85% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like Changbai Mountain Tourism is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

長白山旅遊的三年中位數派息率非常低,爲15%,這意味着其餘的85%可以再投資於其業務。因此,看來長白山旅遊正在將利潤大量再投資以發展其業務,這體現在其收益增長上。

Moreover, Changbai Mountain Tourism is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 30% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Changbai Mountain Tourism is speculated to rise to 16% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,長白山旅遊業決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其支付股息至少十年的悠久歷史中推斷出來的。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年內上升至30%。無論如何,儘管預計派息率會增加,但預計長白山旅遊的未來投資回報率仍將上升至16%。可能還有其他因素可能推動投資回報率的未來增長。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that Changbai Mountain Tourism's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們覺得長白山旅遊業的表現相當不錯。特別是,我們喜歡該公司對其業務進行大量再投資,而且回報率很高。毫不奇怪,這帶來了令人印象深刻的收益增長。在研究分析師當前的估計時,我們發現分析師預計該公司將繼續保持最近的增長勢頭。要了解有關公司未來收益增長預測的更多信息,請查看這份關於分析師預測的免費報告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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