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The Five-year Decline in Earnings for Changchun Yidong ClutchLTD SHSE:600148) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 75% Over That Period

The Five-year Decline in Earnings for Changchun Yidong ClutchLTD SHSE:600148) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 75% Over That Period

長春一動離合器有限公司(SHSE:600148)的盈利在過去五年中持續下降,儘管如此,股東們的收益仍然增長了75%。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/14 08:09

It's been a soft week for Changchun Yidong Clutch CO.,LTD (SHSE:600148) shares, which are down 11%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 70% in that time.

長春一東股份有限公司(SHSE:600148)本週表現不佳,股價下跌了11%。但這並不影響過去五年獲利的情況。畢竟,在這段時間內,股價上漲了超過市場平均水平的70%。

Although Changchun Yidong ClutchLTD has shed CN¥396m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

儘管長春一東本週市值縮水了39600萬CN¥,但讓我們來看看其長期基本面趨勢,以看看這些趨勢是否推動了回報。

While Changchun Yidong ClutchLTD made a small profit, in the last year, we think that the market is probably more focussed on the top line growth at the moment. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

雖然長春一東在去年盈利不多,但我們認爲市場目前更關注的是營收增長。一般來說,我們認爲這樣的公司更可與虧損股票相比較,因爲實際利潤實在太低。爲了讓股東對公司的盈利顯著增長充滿信心,公司必須增加營業收入。

Over the last half decade Changchun Yidong ClutchLTD's revenue has actually been trending down at about 13% per year. Despite the lack of revenue growth, the stock has returned a respectable 11%, compound, over that time. To us that suggests that there probably isn't a lot of correlation between the past revenue performance and the share price, but a closer look at analyst forecasts and the bottom line may well explain a lot.

在過去的五年中,長春一東的營業收入實際上以每年約13%的速度逐漸下降。儘管缺乏收入增長,股票仍然在那段時間內實現了11%的可觀複合收益。對我們來說,這表明過去的收入表現與股價之間可能沒有太大關聯,但深入分析師的預測和底線可能會揭示許多原因。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下面的圖像顯示了收益和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(如果點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。

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SHSE:600148 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 14th 2024
SHSE:600148 盈利和營業收入增長 2024年12月14日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Changchun Yidong ClutchLTD's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們很高興地報告,首席執行官的薪酬比同類資本化公司的大多數首席執行官更爲適中。但儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得關注,真正重要的問題是公司未來是否能增長盈利。通過查看長春一東有限公司的盈利、營業收入和現金流的互動圖,深入了解其盈利情況。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Changchun Yidong ClutchLTD the TSR over the last 5 years was 75%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮總股東回報以及任何特定股票的股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算方式,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,TSR提供了股票產生的回報的更全面的圖景。我們注意到,對於長春一東有限公司,過去五年的TSR爲75%,這比上述的股價回報要好。因此,公司支付的分紅提升了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We're pleased to report that Changchun Yidong ClutchLTD shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 32% over one year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 12% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Changchun Yidong ClutchLTD (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

我們很高興地報告,長春一東有限公司的股東在一年內獲得了32%的總股東回報。這包括分紅。由於一年期的TSR好於五年期的TSR(後者爲每年12%),這似乎表明該股票的表現近期有所改善。在最佳情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務動能,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。儘管考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響是非常重要的,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們發現長春一東有限公司有兩個警告信號(一個有點不愉快!)在此之前你應該注意,以便做出投資決定。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在購買的被低估的小型股免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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