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Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery (SZSE:002304)

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery (SZSE:002304)

資本回報信號爲江蘇洋河酒廠(SZSE:002304)的艱難時期發出警告。
Simply Wall St ·  12/13 19:56

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery (SZSE:002304), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

你知道有一些財務指標可以爲潛在的多袋人提供線索嗎?一種常見的方法是嘗試尋找一家動用資本回報率(ROCE)不斷增加且所用資本不斷增加的公司。歸根結底,這表明這是一家以不斷提高的回報率對利潤進行再投資的企業。但是,在調查了江蘇洋河酒廠(SZSE:002304)之後,我們認爲目前的趨勢不符合多袋機的模式。

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

什麼是已動用資本回報率(ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery is:

如果你以前沒有與ROCE合作過,它會衡量公司從其業務中使用的資本中產生的 「回報」(稅前利潤)。江蘇洋河酒廠的計算公式爲:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

已動用資本回報率 = 息稅前收益(EBIT)÷(總資產-流動負債)

0.18 = CN¥10.0b ÷ (CN¥64b - CN¥10.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

0.18 = 100元人民幣 ÷(640元人民幣100億元人民幣)(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

So, Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery has an ROCE of 18%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 18%.

因此,江蘇洋河酒廠的投資回報率爲18%。這是一個相當標準的回報率,與行業平均水平的18%一致。

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SZSE:002304 Return on Capital Employed December 14th 2024
SZSE: 002304 2024 年 12 月 14 日動用資本回報率

In the above chart we have measured Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery .

在上圖中,我們將江蘇洋河酒廠先前的投資回報率與之前的業績進行了對比,但可以說,未來更爲重要。如果你想了解分析師對未來的預測,你應該查看我們針對江蘇洋河酒廠的免費分析師報告。

How Are Returns Trending?

退貨趨勢如何?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 27%, but since then they've fallen to 18%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

從表面上看,江蘇洋河酒廠的ROCE趨勢並不能激發信心。大約五年前,資本回報率爲27%,但此後已降至18%。考慮到在僱用更多資本的同時收入有所下降,我們會謹慎行事。如果這種情況繼續下去,你可能會看到一家試圖進行再投資以促進增長,但由於銷售額沒有增加,實際上正在失去市場份額的公司。

The Bottom Line

底線

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 10% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

總而言之,我們對江蘇洋河酒廠因增加資本而產生的回報減少感到擔憂。因此,該股在過去五年中下跌了10%也就不足爲奇了,因此投資者似乎已經意識到了這些變化。由於這些領域的潛在趨勢並不理想,我們會考慮將目光投向其他地方。

If you want to continue researching Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

如果你想繼續研究江蘇洋河酒廠,你可能有興趣了解我們的分析發現的1個警告信號。

While Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

儘管江蘇洋河酒廠目前可能無法獲得最高的回報,但我們編制了一份目前股本回報率超過25%的公司名單。在這裏查看這個免費清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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