Does Budweiser Brewing Company APAC (HKG:1876) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Budweiser Brewing Company APAC (HKG:1876) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited (HKG:1876) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍華德·馬克斯很恰當地說,與其擔心股票價格的波動,"我擔心的風險是永久性損失的可能性...而我認識的每位實用投資者也都對此擔憂。"所以聰明的資金知道,債務——通常涉及破產——是在評估一家公司的風險時非常重要的因素。重要的是,百威啤酒公司亞太有限公司 (HKG:1876) 確實有債務。但是,股東應該擔心其債務使用嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其借款人,則它就處於他們的控制之下。如果情況真的很糟糕,借款人可以控制企業。雖然這種情況並不太常見,但我們常常看到負債企業由於借款人強迫他們以低估價格籌集資本而永久稀釋股東的股份。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是在它取代了能夠以高回報率再投資的公司的稀釋。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先將現金和債務結合起來。
How Much Debt Does Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Carry?
百威啤酒公司亞太有限公司有多少債務?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Budweiser Brewing Company APAC had US$411.0m of debt, up from US$306.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has US$2.41b in cash, leading to a US$2.00b net cash position.
正如您在下面看到的,截至2024年6月底,百威啤酒公司亞太地區的債務爲41100萬美元,較去年同期的30600萬美元有所增加。點擊圖片查看更多細節。另一方面,它還有24.1億美元的現金,導致20億美元的淨現金頭寸。
A Look At Budweiser Brewing Company APAC's Liabilities
關注百威亞太釀酒公司的負債
The latest balance sheet data shows that Budweiser Brewing Company APAC had liabilities of US$4.21b due within a year, and liabilities of US$684.0m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$2.41b and US$819.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.67b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,百威亞太釀酒公司有42.1億美元的負債到期時間在一年內,68,400萬美元的負債將在之後到期。另一方面,它擁有24.1億美元的現金和81,900萬美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款總計多出16.7億美元。
Of course, Budweiser Brewing Company APAC has a titanic market capitalization of US$12.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Budweiser Brewing Company APAC also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
當然,百威亞太釀酒公司具有124億美元的巨額市值,因此這些負債可能是可控的。不過,我們確實認爲關注其資產負債表的強度是值得的,因爲這可能會隨着時間的推移而變化。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但百威亞太釀酒公司還有更多的現金而不是債務,所以我們對它安全管理債務充滿信心。
On the other hand, Budweiser Brewing Company APAC saw its EBIT drop by 7.2% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Budweiser Brewing Company APAC's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
另一方面,百威亞太釀酒公司的EBIT在過去十二個月內下降了7.2%。這樣的下降如果持續下去,顯然會使得債務更難以處理。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是關注的重點。但是,未來的收益,勝過一切,將判斷百威亞太釀酒公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Budweiser Brewing Company APAC has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Budweiser Brewing Company APAC recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 85% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最後,儘管稅務機關可能喜愛會計利潤,但貸款方只接受冷硬現金。儘管百威亞太釀酒公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它如何快速積累(或減少)現金餘額。在過去三年裏,百威亞太釀酒公司記錄的自由現金流達到了115%的EBIT,這比我們通常預期的要強。這使得它在希望償還債務時處於良好位置。
Summing Up
總結
Although Budweiser Brewing Company APAC's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$2.00b. The cherry on top was that in converted 85% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$848m. So we don't think Budweiser Brewing Company APAC's use of debt is risky. Another positive for shareholders is that it pays dividends. So if you like receiving those dividend payments, check Budweiser Brewing Company APAC's dividend history, without delay!
雖然百威亞太的資產負債表並不特別強勁,但由於總負債,顯然看到其淨現金爲20億美元是積極的。 另一個好消息是,它將85%的EBIT轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了84800萬美元的收入。 所以我們認爲百威亞太的債務使用並不冒險。 對於股東來說另一個積極因素是它支付分紅。 所以如果你喜歡收到這些分紅派息,請毫不遲疑地查看百威亞太的分紅歷史!
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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