NanJi E-Commerce Co., LTD's (SZSE:002127) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
NanJi E-Commerce Co., LTD's (SZSE:002127) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
NanJi E-Commerce's (SZSE:002127) stock is up by a considerable 98% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay close attention to its weak financials as we are doubtful that the current momentum will keep up, given the scenario. In this article, we decided to focus on NanJi E-Commerce's ROE.
南極電商(深交所代碼:002127)的股票在過去三個月上漲了顯著的98%。然而,考慮到當前的情況,我們決定密切關注其疲弱的財務狀況,因爲我們懷疑當前的勢頭是否能夠持續。因此,在本文中,我們決定重點關注南極電商的ROE。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
ROE即股東權益回報率,是評估公司如何有效地生成股東投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算股本回報率?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
淨資產收益率可以通過以下公式計算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股東權益回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for NanJi E-Commerce is:
因此,根據上述公式,南極電商的ROE爲:
1.7% = CN¥77m ÷ CN¥4.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
1.7% = CN¥7700萬 ÷ CN¥45億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.02.
「回報」是過去十二個月的利潤。這意味着對於每CN¥1的股東投資,公司產生了CN¥0.02的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
我們已經確認ROE作爲公司未來收益的有效利潤生成指標。現在我們需要評估公司再投資或"保留"多少利潤以支持未來增長,這樣我們才能了解到公司的增長潛力。一般來說,在其他條件相同的情況下,擁有高股本回報率和利潤保留的公司,其增長率往往高於沒有這些特徵的公司。
NanJi E-Commerce's Earnings Growth And 1.7% ROE
南極電商的盈利增長和1.7%的ROE
It is hard to argue that NanJi E-Commerce's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.5%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 51% seen by NanJi E-Commerce over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.
很難說南極電商的ROE本身有多好。即便與行業平均ROE 6.5%相比,該公司的ROE也相當糟糕。在這種情況下,南極電商在過去五年中淨利潤下降51%並不令人驚訝。我們認爲這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,業務的資本配置不當,或者公司的分紅派息比例非常高。
So, as a next step, we compared NanJi E-Commerce's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 3.3% over the last few years.
因此,作爲下一步,我們將南極電商的表現與行業進行了比較,令人失望的是,雖然該公司在縮減其盈利,但行業在過去幾年中盈利增長率爲3.3%。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if NanJi E-Commerce is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
將公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相關。 對於投資者來說,了解市場是否已考慮公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)是重要的。 通過這樣做,他們將對股票是進入清澈的水域還是面臨沼澤水域有一個了解。 預期盈利增長的一個良好指標是市盈率,它決定了市場願意爲基於盈利前景的股票支付的價格。 因此,您可能想查看南極電商在其行業中是高市盈率還是低市盈率。
Is NanJi E-Commerce Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
南極電商是否有效地再投資其利潤?
NanJi E-Commerce's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 58% (or a retention ratio of 42%). With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for NanJi E-Commerce by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
鑑於南極電商將大部分利潤用於支付分紅,考慮到其三年中位數派息比率爲58%(或留存比率爲42%),其盈利下降並不令人驚訝。 由於只有少量資金被再投資於業務中,盈利增長顯然會很低或根本不存在。 您可以通過訪問我們的風險儀表板,免費查看我們爲南極電商識別的四個風險。
Moreover, NanJi E-Commerce has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.
此外,南極電商已經連續支付分紅七年,這是一段相當長的時間,這表明管理層認爲股東更傾向於穩定的分紅,即使盈利一直在縮減。
Conclusion
結論
On the whole, NanJi E-Commerce's performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. To gain further insights into NanJi E-Commerce's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.
總體來說,南極電商的表現令人失望。由於其低ROE和對業務缺乏再投資,公司收益增長率令人失望。到目前爲止,我們僅僅通過查看公司的基本面,略微了解了公司的過去表現。要進一步了解南極電商的過去利潤增長情況,請查看這張過去收益、營業收入和現金流的可視化圖。
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。