The Total Return for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development (SZSE:000628) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years
The Total Return for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development (SZSE:000628) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years
We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. While not every stock performs well, when investors win, they can win big. For example, the ChengDu Hi-Tech Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000628) share price is up a whopping 507% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. On top of that, the share price is up 48% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 34% in the last three months. We love happy stories like this one. The company should be really proud of that performance!
我們認爲所有投資者都應該嘗試買入並持有高質量的多年贏家。雖然並不是每隻股票表現良好,但當投資者獲勝時,他們可能贏得巨額利潤。例如,成都高新發展有限公司(深交所代碼:000628)的股價在過去五年裏上漲了驚人的507%,對於長揸者來說,這是一個豐厚的回報。這正好顯示了一些企業能夠實現的價值創造。此外,股價在大約一個季度內上漲了48%。但這可能與強勁的市場有關,過去三個月市場上漲了34%。我們喜歡這樣的快樂故事。該公司應該爲這一業績感到非常自豪!
While the stock has fallen 4.1% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
儘管本週股票下跌了4.1%,但值得關注長期走勢,以查看股票的歷史回報是否受到基本面的推動。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用巴菲特的話,『船隻將環繞世界航行,但平面地球學會將蓬勃發展。市場上價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異……』通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間變化的。
During five years of share price growth, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 19% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 43% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 89.36.
在五年的股價增長中,成都高新發展實現了每股收益(EPS)年增長率爲19%的複合增長。這一EPS增長速度低於同期股價年增長43%的速度。因此,可以合理地假設市場對該業務的看法比五年前更高。考慮到其增長記錄,這一點並不讓人感到驚訝。這種樂觀情緒在其相對較高的市盈率89.36中可見一斑。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的圖像顯示了EPS隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
我們高興地報告,CEO的薪酬比大多數同類公司資本化水平的CEO更爲適中。但儘管CEO的薪酬始終值得關注,真正重要的問題是公司能否在未來實現盈利增長。如果您想進一步調查該股票,這份關於高新發展的營收、營業收入和現金流的免費互動報告是個不錯的開始。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's TSR for the last 5 years was 520%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在評估任何股票時,考慮股東總回報和股價回報非常重要。總股東回報是一個回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣融資和分拆的計算值。可以說,總股東回報提供了股票產生的回報的更全面的視圖。實際上,高新發展的總股東回報在過去五年中達到了520%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。並且,毫無疑問,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
ChengDu Hi-Tech Development shareholders gained a total return of 10% during the year. But that was short of the market average. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 44% per year for five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
高新發展的股東在這一年中獲得了10%的總回報,但這低於市場平均水平。如果回顧過去五年,回報情況甚至更好,每年達到44%。也許股價只是在稍作休整,而業務正執行其增長策略。我發現,長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲取洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如風險。每家公司都有風險,我們發現高新發展有2個警告信號(其中1個讓我們有點不安!)您需要了解。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這個免費的公司名單。(提示:很多公司鮮爲人知,而且估值吸引。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。