Is Confluent (NASDAQ:CFLT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Confluent (NASDAQ:CFLT) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Confluent, Inc. (NASDAQ:CFLT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,Confluent, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:CFLT)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。
What Is Confluent's Net Debt?
Confluent 的淨負債是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Confluent had US$1.09b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$1.86b in cash, so it actually has US$768.3m net cash.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖表顯示,2024年9月,Confluent的債務爲10.9億美元;與前一年大致相同。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有18.6億美元的現金,因此實際上擁有7.683億美元的淨現金。
A Look At Confluent's Liabilities
看看 Confluent 的負債
According to the last reported balance sheet, Confluent had liabilities of US$535.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.14b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$1.86b in cash and US$278.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$464.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據上次報告的資產負債表,Confluent在12個月內到期的負債爲5.35億美元,12個月以後到期的負債爲11.4億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有18.6億美元的現金和2.787億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有比總負債多出4.645億美元的流動資產。
This surplus suggests that Confluent has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Confluent boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Confluent can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
這種盈餘表明Confluent的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Confluent擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定Confluent能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Over 12 months, Confluent reported revenue of US$916m, which is a gain of 25%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
在過去的12個月中,Confluent報告的收入爲9.16億美元,增長了25%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。股東們可能對它能夠實現盈利抱有疑慮。
So How Risky Is Confluent?
那麼 Confluent 的風險有多大?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Confluent lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$13m and booked a US$351m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the US$768.3m on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Confluent may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Confluent , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
我們毫不懷疑,總的來說,虧損公司比盈利的公司風險更大。事實是,在過去的十二個月中,Confluent在利息和稅前收益(EBIT)方面蒙受了損失。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負1300萬美元,會計虧損爲3.51億美元。但最幸運的是資產負債表上的7.683億美元。這意味着它可以在兩年多的時間內將支出保持在目前的水平。由於去年的收入增長非常穩健,Confluent可能正在走上盈利之路。通過在這些利潤之前進行投資,股東會承擔更大的風險,希望獲得更大的回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經確定了Confluent的3個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票的獨家清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。