Is Yadea Group Holdings (HKG:1585) A Risky Investment?
Is Yadea Group Holdings (HKG:1585) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Yadea Group Holdings Ltd. (HKG:1585) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的)曾說過: 「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」 在審視一家公司的風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲當業務崩潰時,債務往往是一個因素。與許多其他公司一樣,雅迪控股有限公司(HKG:1585)也在利用債務。但是,真正的問題是這種債務是否讓公司變得風險很大。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當一家公司無法輕鬆履行債務和其他負債的義務時,債務和其他負債就會對其業務變得風險很大,要麼是通過自由現金流,要麼是通過以吸引人的價格籌集資金。最終,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以便宜的股價稀釋股東權益,僅僅是爲了控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務,以其自身的利益爲主。當我們考慮一家公司對債務的使用時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起進行觀察。
How Much Debt Does Yadea Group Holdings Carry?
雅迪控股的債務有多少?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Yadea Group Holdings had CN¥1.81b of debt, up from CN¥872.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥10.7b in cash, leading to a CN¥8.88b net cash position.
正如您在下面看到的,截至2024年6月底,雅迪控股的債務爲18.1億人民幣,較一年前的87240萬有所增加。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是另一方面,它還擁有107億人民幣的現金,導致其淨現金頭寸爲88.8億人民幣。
A Look At Yadea Group Holdings' Liabilities
雅迪控股的負債分析
The latest balance sheet data shows that Yadea Group Holdings had liabilities of CN¥16.8b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥799.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥10.7b as well as receivables valued at CN¥798.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥6.09b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,雅迪控股的負債爲168億人民幣,需在一年內償還,79910萬人民幣的負債將在此之後到期。抵消這些義務的是107億人民幣的現金,以及價值79860萬人民幣的應收賬款,需在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款總和的60.9億人民幣。
Of course, Yadea Group Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥38.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Yadea Group Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
當然,雅迪控股的市值爲387億人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可控的。然而,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強度,因爲隨時間可能會發生變化。雖然它的負債值得注意,但雅迪控股的現金超過債務,因此我們對其安全管理債務的能力相當有信心。
On the other hand, Yadea Group Holdings saw its EBIT drop by 2.9% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yadea Group Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
另一方面,雅迪控股在過去12個月內的EBIT下降了2.9%。如果收益繼續以這種速度下降,公司可能會越來越難以管理其債務負擔。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定雅迪控股能否隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Yadea Group Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Yadea Group Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,一個業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本不夠用。雅迪控股可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但了解該業務如何將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去三年中,雅迪控股產生了堅實的自由現金流,佔其EBIT的53%,這差不多是我們所期望的。這筆冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總結
Although Yadea Group Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥8.88b. So we are not troubled with Yadea Group Holdings's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Yadea Group Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
儘管雅迪控股的資產負債表並不是特別強勁,主要是由於總負債,但看到它擁有淨現金88.8億人民幣顯然是積極的。因此,我們並不擔心雅迪控股的債務使用。分析債務時,顯然資產負債表是需要關注的領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都來自於資產負債表-遠非如此。例如,雅迪控股有1個警告信號,我們認爲你應該注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。
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