These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd (SZSE:002654) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd (SZSE:002654) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shenzhen Mason Technologies Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002654) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到深圳梅森科技有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所:002654)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd Carry?
深圳梅森科技有限公司揹負了多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd had debt of CN¥774.8m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥876.0m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥265.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥509.3m.
你可以點擊下圖查看更多細節,該圖片顯示,截至2024年9月底,深圳梅森科技有限公司的債務爲77480萬元人民幣,比一年中的87600萬加元有所減少。但是,由於其現金儲備爲26550萬元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲50930萬加元。
A Look At Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's Liabilities
看看深圳梅森科技有限公司的負債
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.14b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥562.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥265.5m and CN¥1.88b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥555.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,深圳梅森科技有限公司的負債爲21.4元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲56260萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲26550萬元人民幣,還有價值18.8元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額超過其現金和短期應收賬款的總和,爲55550萬元人民幣。
Since publicly traded Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥12.0b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
由於公開交易的深圳梅森科技有限公司股票的總價值爲120元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以其扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA)和其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以其利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既要考慮債務的絕對數量,也要考慮爲其支付的利率。
While we wouldn't worry about Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.7, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.0 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, the silver lining was that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd achieved a positive EBIT of CN¥54m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
雖然我們不擔心深圳梅森科技有限公司的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲3.7,但我們認爲其1.0倍的超低利息覆蓋率是高槓杆率的標誌。這在很大程度上是由於該公司收取了巨額折舊和攤銷費用,這可以說意味着其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤是衡量收益的非常慷慨的指標,其債務可能比最初看起來更具負擔。看來很明顯,借錢成本最近對股東的回報產生了負面影響。但是,一線希望是,深圳梅森科技有限公司在過去十二個月中實現了5400萬元人民幣的正息稅前利潤,比去年的虧損有所改善。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲深圳梅森科技有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。因此,值得檢查一下利息和稅前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。去年,深圳梅森科技有限公司燒掉了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。
Our View
我們的觀點
To be frank both Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its level of total liabilities is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Mason TechnologiesLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
坦率地說,深圳梅森科技有限公司的利息保障及其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但好的一面是,其總負債水平是一個好兆頭,也使我們更加樂觀。綜合考慮上述所有因素,在我們看來,深圳梅森科技有限公司的債務使其有點風險。這不一定是一件壞事,但我們通常會因爲降低槓桿率而感到更自在。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們發現了深圳梅森科技有限公司的兩個警告信號,在投資這裏之前,你應該注意這些信號。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司身上。讀者現在可以免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。
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Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。