Is Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Best Buy Co., Inc. (NYSE:BBY) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,百思買公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:BBY)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
What Is Best Buy's Net Debt?
百思買的淨負債是多少?
As you can see below, Best Buy had US$1.14b of debt, at November 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$832.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$311.0m.
如下所示,截至2024年11月,百思買的債務爲11.4億美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但是,由於其現金儲備爲8.320億美元,其淨負債較少,約爲3.11億美元。
How Healthy Is Best Buy's Balance Sheet?
百思買的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Best Buy had liabilities of US$9.95b due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.99b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$832.0m in cash and US$932.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$12.2b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,百思買的負債爲99.5億美元,此後到期的負債爲39.9億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有8.320億美元的現金和9.320億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額122億美元。
This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of US$18.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Best Buy's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
與其187億美元的巨大市值相比,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注百思買的債務使用情況。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力的關係:其淨負債除以未計利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)彌補利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。
Best Buy has net debt of just 0.12 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. The good news is that Best Buy has increased its EBIT by 5.7% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Best Buy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
百思買的淨負債僅爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的0.12倍,這表明它可以在不費吹灰之力的情況下提高槓杆率。值得注意的是,儘管有淨負債,但它在過去十二個月中獲得的利息實際上超過了必須支付的利息。因此,毫無疑問,這家公司可以承擔債務,同時保持冷靜。好消息是,百思買在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤增長了5.7%,這應該可以緩解對債務償還的任何擔憂。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定百思買未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Best Buy produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。因此,我們顯然需要研究該息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,百思買產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的64%,與我們的預期差不多。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要的時候減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Happily, Best Buy's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. All these things considered, it appears that Best Buy can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Best Buy insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.
令人高興的是,百思買令人印象深刻的利息保障意味着它在債務上佔了上風。但是,更悲觀的是,我們對其總負債水平有點擔憂。考慮到所有這些因素,百思買似乎可以輕鬆應對其當前的債務水平。當然,儘管這種槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但它確實帶來了更多的風險,因此值得關注。當然,我們不會對如果我們知道百思買內部人士一直在購買股票所獲得的額外信心說不:如果你持同樣的看法,你可以通過點擊這個鏈接來了解內部人士是否在買入。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,那麼請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。