Blackstone (NYSE:BX) Shareholders Have Earned a 32% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
Blackstone (NYSE:BX) Shareholders Have Earned a 32% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. One great example is Blackstone Inc. (NYSE:BX) which saw its share price drive 241% higher over five years. On top of that, the share price is up 22% in about a quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 8.7% in 90 days).
在任何股票上,假設你不使用槓桿,你可能損失的最多是你資金的100%。但從好的一面來看,在一個非常好的股票上,你可以賺取遠超過100%的收益。一個很好的例子是黑石公司(紐交所:BX),其股價在五年間上漲了241%。此外,股價在大約一個季度內上漲了22%。但這一變動可能在一定程度上得益於市場較爲樂觀(90天內上漲了8.7%)。
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的話:「船隻將環遊世界,但平面地球學會將興旺發達。市場上的價格與價值之間將繼續存在廣泛的差異……」 一種檢查如何 市場情緒 隨時間變化的方法是查看公司股票價格與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
During five years of share price growth, Blackstone achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 4.7% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 28% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 65.04.
在五年的股價增長期間,黑石實現了每股收益(EPS)年複合增長4.7%。這一EPS的增長速度慢於同期股價每年28%的增長。這表明市場參與者如今對該公司更加看好。這並不一定令人驚訝,考慮到過去五年的盈利增長記錄。這種樂觀在其相對較高的市盈率65.04中顯而易見。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到EPS如何隨時間變化(點擊圖片可以發現具體數值)。

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Blackstone's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
我們喜歡內部人士在過去十二個月裏買入股票。儘管如此,未來的營業收入對於當前股東盈利將更爲重要。不妨查看一下我們關於黑石的營業收入、營業收入和現金流的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Blackstone, it has a TSR of 306% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股票價格回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。股票價格回報僅反映股票價格的變化,而TSR則包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價融資或分拆的好處。對於支付豐厚分紅的公司來說,TSR通常遠高於股票價格回報。以黑石爲例,它在過去5年的TSR爲306%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票價格回報。公司支付的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that Blackstone shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 53% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 32%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Blackstone (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .
很高興看到黑石股東在過去一年中獲得了53%的總股東回報。這包括分紅。這一收益好於過去五年的年度TSR,後者爲32%。因此,似乎最近市場對該公司的情緒是積極的。持樂觀態度的人可能會認爲,最近TSR的改善表明公司的業務隨時間在改善。儘管考慮市場條件對股票價格的不同影響是非常重要的,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的黑石的3個警告信號(包括一個讓我們感到有些不安的信號)。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).
如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:它們中的大多數都在雷達下飛行)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。