0.2% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Charles River Laboratories International (NYSE:CRL) Shareholders Over That Period
0.2% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Charles River Laboratories International (NYSE:CRL) Shareholders Over That Period
For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. (NYSE:CRL) shareholders, since the share price is down 47% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 29%.
對於許多投資者來說,選股的要點是產生比整個市場更高的回報。但是在任何投資組合中,都可能有一些股票未達到該基準。不幸的是,查爾斯河實驗室國際公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:CRL)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了47%,遠低於29%左右的市場回報率。
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Charles River Laboratories International isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
如果過去一週有意義的話,那麼投資者對查爾斯河實驗室國際的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面與股價之間是否存在不匹配的情況。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考慮市場對公司的看法如何變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價變動進行比較。
Although the share price is down over three years, Charles River Laboratories International actually managed to grow EPS by 0.7% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
儘管股價在三年內下跌,但查爾斯河實驗室國際實際上在那段時間內每年設法將每股收益增長0.7%。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。
After considering the numbers, we'd posit that the the market had higher expectations of EPS growth, three years back. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.
在考慮了這些數字之後,我們認爲三年前市場對每股收益增長的預期更高。研究其他指標可能會更好地解釋股價的變化。
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 6.1% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Charles River Laboratories International further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
我們注意到,在三年內,收入實際上以6.1%的年增長率增長,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。可能值得進一步調查查爾斯·裏弗國際實驗室;儘管我們在分析中可能遺漏了一些東西,但也可能有機會。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描繪了收入和收入隨着時間的推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片顯示確切的數值)。
Charles River Laboratories International is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Charles River Laboratories International will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)
查爾斯河國際實驗室爲投資者所熟知,許多聰明的分析師都試圖預測未來的利潤水平。因此,看看分析師認爲查爾斯河實驗室國際未來將獲得多少收入很有意義(免費的分析師共識估計)
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market gained around 30% in the last year, Charles River Laboratories International shareholders lost 16%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 5%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Charles River Laboratories International .
儘管去年整個市場上漲了約30%,但查爾斯河實驗室國際的股東卻下跌了16%。但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現不如市場。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺5%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該注意我們在查爾斯里弗國際實驗室發現的兩個警告標誌。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一項不錯的投資。因此,看看這份我們預計收益將增長的免費公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。