Shareholders in Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer (HKG:1066) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago
Shareholders in Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer (HKG:1066) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited (HKG:1066) shareholders, since the share price is down 51% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 2.8%. And over the last year the share price fell 36%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted.
作爲投資者,值得努力確保您的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平。但是在任何投資組合中,都可能有一些股票未達到該基準。不幸的是,山東威高集團醫用聚合物有限公司(HKG: 1066)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了51%,遠低於2.8%左右的市場跌幅。在過去的一年中,股價下跌了36%,因此我們懷疑許多股東是否感到高興。
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
由於股東長期處於低迷狀態,讓我們來看看那段時間的基本面,看看它們與回報是否一致。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
禾倫·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股價如何並不總是能合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間推移的變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間的推移而變化。
Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 6.5% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 21% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 10.62.
在過去三年中,山東威高集團醫用聚合物的每股收益複合下降幅度爲每年6.5%。每股收益的下降低於股價每年21%的降幅。因此,每股收益的下降很可能令市場失望,使投資者對買入猶豫不決。這種更加謹慎的態度也體現在相當低的市盈率上,該比率爲10.62。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描繪了 EPS 隨着時間的推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片顯示確切的數值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,請點擊此處。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer's TSR for the last 3 years was -47%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,山東威高集團醫用聚合物在過去3年的股東總回報率爲-47%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer shareholders lost 33% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer .
儘管去年整體市場上漲了約23%,但山東威高集團醫用聚合物股東損失了33%(甚至包括股息)。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到企業基本指標的改善。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨7%的總虧損。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,您應該注意我們在山東威高集團醫用聚合物中發現的1個警告信號。
Of course Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,山東威高集團醫用聚合物可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。