Despite an already strong run, Liaoning Shenhua Holdings Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600653) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 47% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Retail Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may consider Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 41% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's P/S
The large bounce in Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Liaoning Shenhua HoldingsLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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