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We Think Wenzhou Yihua Connector (SZSE:002897) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Wenzhou Yihua Connector (SZSE:002897) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲意華股份(深證:002897)在債務方面承擔了一些風險。
Simply Wall St ·  12/16 18:59

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Wenzhou Yihua Connector Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002897) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說,作爲投資者,波動性而不是債務是思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾著名地說:'波動性遠非與風險同義。'因此,聰明的錢知道,債務——通常與破產相關——是評估公司風險時一個非常重要的因素。 與許多其他公司一樣,意華股份(SZSE:002897)也使用債務。但這種債務對股東來說是個問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助業務增長的工具,但如果一個企業無法償還其貸方,那麼它就處在貸方的掌控之下。如果情況變得十分糟糕,貸方可以控制該公司。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以討價還價的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,只爲改善其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價資本,特別是在替代高回報率再投資能力的公司中稀釋時。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Wenzhou Yihua Connector's Debt?

意華股份的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Wenzhou Yihua Connector had debt of CN¥2.40b, up from CN¥2.28b in one year. However, it also had CN¥1.10b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.30b.

下圖,您可以點擊以查看更多詳細信息,顯示截至2024年6月,意華股份的債務爲24億人民幣,比一年前的22.8億人民幣增加了。然而,它也有11億人民幣的現金,因此其淨債務爲13億人民幣。

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SZSE:002897 Debt to Equity History December 17th 2024
SZSE:002897債務與股本歷史 2024年12月17日

How Strong Is Wenzhou Yihua Connector's Balance Sheet?

意華股份的資產負債表有多強勁?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Wenzhou Yihua Connector had liabilities of CN¥3.18b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥904.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.10b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.70b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.28b.

從最新的資產負債表來看,意華股份的負債爲317億元在一年內到期,且有90400萬元負債在此之後到期。爲抵消這些義務,它擁有現金11億元以及價值17億元在12個月內到期的應收款。因此,它的負債超出了現金和(短期)應收款的總和12.8億元。

Since publicly traded Wenzhou Yihua Connector shares are worth a total of CN¥8.25b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

由於上市的意華股份總市值爲82.5億元,似乎這些負債的水平不會構成重大威脅。然而,我們認爲仍然值得關注其資產負債表的強度,因爲它可能會隨時間而變化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了衡量一家公司相對於其收益的債務水平,我們計算其淨負債與利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及其利息和稅項前利潤(EBIT)與其利息支出(利息支付比率)的比率。因此,我們考慮了包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務的情況。

Wenzhou Yihua Connector's debt is 2.8 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.3 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Looking on the bright side, Wenzhou Yihua Connector boosted its EBIT by a silky 81% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wenzhou Yihua Connector's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

意華股份的債務是其EBITDA的2.8倍,EBIT覆蓋其利息支出3.3倍。綜合來看,這意味着我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它能夠應對當前的槓桿情況。從積極的一面來看,意華股份在過去一年裏將其EBIT提升了81%。這種增長就像母親對新生兒的愛之抱持,增強了公司的韌性,使其更能有效地管理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的最重要的關於債務的知識。但是,未來的收益,尤其是會決定意華股份維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Wenzhou Yihua Connector saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,儘管稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,貸款人只接受冷硬的現金。因此,檢查EBIT中有多少是有自由現金流支持的,這一點很重要。在過去的三年中,意華股份的自由現金流總計出現了顯著的負值。雖然投資者無疑期望這種情況會在適當的時候發生逆轉,但顯然這意味着其使用債務的風險更高。

Our View

我們的觀點

Neither Wenzhou Yihua Connector's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. We think that Wenzhou Yihua Connector's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Wenzhou Yihua Connector (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

無論是意華股份將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力,還是其利息覆蓋率,都沒有讓我們對其承擔更多債務的能力感到信懇智能。好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆地增長EBIT。我們認爲,考慮到上述數據點,意華股份的債務確實讓它變得有些風險。這不一定是壞事,因爲槓桿可以提升股本回報,但這確實是需要關注的事情。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的意華股份的兩個警示信號(其中之一令我們感到不太滿意)。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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