Is Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600738) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?
Is Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600738) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?
Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's (SHSE:600738) stock is up by a considerable 81% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's ROE.
蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600738)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了81%。我們想知道公司的財務狀況在價格變動中是否起着什麼作用,因爲公司的長期基本面通常決定市場業績。在本文中,我們決定重點關注蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司的投資回報率。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
ROE或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得的投資回報的有用工具。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算股本回報率?
The formula for ROE is:
投資回報率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd is:
因此,根據上述公式,蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司的投資回報率爲:
5.2% = CN¥102m ÷ CN¥2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
5.2% = 10200萬元人民幣 ÷ 20元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.
「回報」 是指公司去年的收益。這意味着,每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.05元人民幣的利潤。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,ROE衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。然後,根據公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 的金額及其有效性,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他一切都保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。
Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 5.2% ROE
蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司的收益增長和5.2%的投資回報率
On the face of it, Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 3.7%, is definitely interesting. However, Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's five year net income decline rate was 29%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. So that could be one of the factors that are causing earnings growth to shrink.
從表面上看,蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司的投資回報率並不太好說。但是,該公司的投資回報率高於3.7%的行業平均投資回報率,這一事實絕對很有趣。但是,蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司的五年淨收入下降率爲29%。請記住,該公司的投資回報率一開始有點低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,這可能是導致收益增長萎縮的因素之一。
Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 13% in the same 5-year period, we still found Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.
接下來,當我們與同期收益縮水13%的行業進行比較時,我們仍然發現蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司的表現相當慘淡,因爲該公司的收益萎縮速度比行業更快。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司相對於其行業的市盈率是高還是低。
Is Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司是否有效地將利潤再投資?
Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's low three-year median payout ratio of 25% (or a retention ratio of 75%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.
蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司在過去三年中低的三年派息率中位數爲25%(或75%的留存率),這應該意味着該公司保留了大部分收益來推動增長,但該公司的收益實際上已經萎縮。低支出應意味着該公司保留了大部分收益,因此應該會出現一些增長。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。
Additionally, Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.
此外,蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司已在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着即使收益增長微乎其微,公司的管理層也決心派發股息。
Conclusion
結論
In total, it does look like Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.
總的來說,蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司的業務看起來確實有一些積極的方面。但是,儘管投資回報率適中,再投資率很高,但我們仍然對收益缺乏增長感到失望。我們認爲,可能有一些外部因素可能會對業務產生負面影響。雖然我們不會完全解散公司,但我們要做的是努力確定業務的風險,以便在公司周圍做出更明智的決定。要了解我們爲蘭州立商國潮實業集團有限公司確定的兩種風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀表板。
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。