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Is Sailun Group (SHSE:601058) A Risky Investment?

Is Sailun Group (SHSE:601058) A Risky Investment?

賽輪輪胎(SHSE:601058)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/17 01:04

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Sailun Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601058) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得很好,'波動性不是我們關注的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。' 在審視一家公司的風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲債務往往與企業的崩潰有關。我們注意到,賽輪輪胎有限公司 (SHSE:601058) 確實在其資產負債表上有債務。但是,股東應該擔心其債務使用嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還貸方的款項,它就處於貸方的控制之下。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法支付其債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,僅僅是爲了控制債務。也就是說,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務,併爲自己謀取利益。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,首先要將現金和債務一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Sailun Group Carry?

賽輪輪胎的債務有多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Sailun Group had CN¥9.43b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥11.4b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥6.27b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥3.16b.

您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示賽輪輪胎在2024年9月的債務爲94.3億人民幣,較一年前的114億人民幣下降。然而,由於其現金儲備爲62.7億人民幣,其淨債務較少,約爲31.6億人民幣。

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SHSE:601058 Debt to Equity History December 17th 2024
SHSE:601058 債務與股本歷史 2024年12月17日

A Look At Sailun Group's Liabilities

賽輪輪胎的負債情況

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sailun Group had liabilities of CN¥14.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥4.09b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.27b in cash and CN¥6.62b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥5.95b.

仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到賽輪輪胎在12個月內的負債爲147億人民幣,而12個月之後的負債爲40.9億人民幣。爲了抵消這一點,它有62.7億人民幣的現金和66.2億人民幣的應收賬款,這些應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債比現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和多出59.5億人民幣。

Of course, Sailun Group has a market capitalization of CN¥44.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

當然,賽輪輪胎的市值爲449億人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以管理的。但是負債數額相當可觀,我們肯定會建議股東在未來繼續關注資產負債表。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來了解相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是它的息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出的次數(或者簡稱爲利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。

Sailun Group's net debt is only 0.48 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 23.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Sailun Group grew its EBIT by 71% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sailun Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

賽輪輪胎的淨債務僅爲其EBITDA的0.48倍。並且其EBIT覆蓋利息費用的倍數高達23.5倍。因此你可以說,它的債務所帶來的威脅與大象對老鼠的威脅相似。此外,賽輪輪胎在過去十二個月中將其EBIT增長了71%,這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是首要考慮的地方。但未來的收益,尤其是比什麼,都將判斷賽輪輪胎在未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Sailun Group created free cash flow amounting to 3.4% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;僅靠會計利潤是無法滿足的。因此我們總是檢查EBIT有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,賽輪輪胎創造的自由現金流佔其EBIT的3.4%,這一表現並不令人印象深刻。如此低的現金轉換率削弱了其管理和償還債務的能力。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that Sailun Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Sailun Group takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Sailun Group .

好消息是,賽輪輪胎展示了用EBIT支付利息的能力,像一隻毛茸茸的小狗讓 toddler 感到高興。但殘酷的事實是,我們對其EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力感到擔憂。考慮到所有這些數據,我們認爲賽輪輪胎在債務方面採取了相當理智的方法。這意味着他們承擔了一些風險,希望提高股東回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到了最多的關於債務的信息。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。因此,您應該注意我們發現的賽輪輪胎的兩個警告信號。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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