Honeywell International's (NASDAQ:HON) 8.2% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
Honeywell International's (NASDAQ:HON) 8.2% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. But Honeywell International Inc. (NASDAQ:HON) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 34% over five years, which is below the market return. Over the last twelve months the stock price has risen a very respectable 15%.
如果你買入並持有股票多年,你希望獲利。更好的是,你希望看到股價的上漲幅度超過市場平均水平。但是霍尼韋爾國際公司(納斯達克股票代碼:HON)尚未實現第二個目標,股價在五年內上漲了34%,低於市場回報率。在過去的十二個月中,股價上漲了非常可觀的15%。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在7天表現穩健的背景下,讓我們來看看公司的基本面在推動長期股東回報方面發揮了什麼作用。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
禾倫·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股價如何並不總是能合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法如何變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價變動進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Honeywell International achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 0.1% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 6% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
在五年的股價增長中,霍尼韋爾國際實現了每年0.1%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。每股收益的增長低於股價年均增長6%。因此,可以公平地假設市場對該業務的看法比五年前更高。考慮到五年的收益增長記錄,這並不一定令人驚訝。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了 EPS 在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多的細節)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,請點擊此處。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Honeywell International the TSR over the last 5 years was 48%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,霍尼韋爾國際在過去5年的股東總回報率爲48%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Honeywell International provided a TSR of 18% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 8% per year over five year. It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Honeywell International better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Honeywell International that you should be aware of before investing here.
在過去的十二個月中,霍尼韋爾國際的股東總回報率爲18%。但是這種回報不及市場。一線希望是,收益實際上好於五年內每年8%的平均年回報率。回報率可能會隨着業務基本面的改善而改善。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解霍尼韋爾國際,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們發現了霍尼韋爾國際的一個警告信號,在這裏投資之前,你應該注意這個信號。
Of course Honeywell International may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,霍尼韋爾國際可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。