Is Three Squirrels (SZSE:300783) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Three Squirrels (SZSE:300783) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Three Squirrels Inc. (SZSE:300783) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大衛·伊本說得好:'波動性並不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。' 所以,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,顯然需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,三隻松鼠(深證:300783)確實帶有債務。但真正的問題是,這種債務是否使公司變得有風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕易償還時才會成爲真正的問題,或者是通過籌集資金或靠自身的自由現金流。資本主義的一個重要組成部分是'創造性毀滅'的過程,在這個過程中,失敗的企業被其銀行家無情地清算。雖然這並不常見,但我們常常看到負債的公司因爲貸款方迫使他們以低價籌集資金而永久性地稀釋股東權益。不過,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本投資於高回報增長的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮一家公司對債務的使用時,我們首先會將現金和債務結合在一起。
What Is Three Squirrels's Debt?
三隻松鼠的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Three Squirrels had debt of CN¥312.1m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥512.2m over a year. But it also has CN¥414.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥102.1m net cash.
下圖可點擊以獲取更詳細信息,顯示三隻松鼠在2024年9月底的債務爲31210萬人民幣,比一年前的51220萬人民幣減少。但它還有41410萬人民幣的現金來抵消這些債務,這意味着它擁有10210萬人民幣的淨現金。

How Strong Is Three Squirrels' Balance Sheet?
三隻松鼠的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Three Squirrels had liabilities of CN¥1.53b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥257.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥414.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥469.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥901.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
從最近的資產負債表來看,三隻松鼠有15.3億人民幣的負債在一年內到期,25750萬人民幣的負債在一年後到期。爲了抵消這些負債,它持有41410萬人民幣的現金,以及46950萬人民幣的應收款,均在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收款的總和多出90180萬人民幣。
Of course, Three Squirrels has a market capitalization of CN¥13.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Three Squirrels also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
當然,三隻松鼠的市場資本爲139億人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以管理的。然而,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強度,因爲這可能會隨時間而變化。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但三隻松鼠的現金仍然多於債務,因此我們相當有信心它能夠安全管理其債務。
Better yet, Three Squirrels grew its EBIT by 110% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Three Squirrels can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
更重要的是,三隻松鼠去年的EBIT增長了110%,這是一個令人印象深刻的改進。這樣的增長將使其更容易償還未來的債務。資產負債表無疑是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,企業的未來盈利能力將決定三隻松鼠能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Three Squirrels has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last two years, Three Squirrels actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
最後,雖然稅務機關可能喜歡會計利潤,但放貸人只接受現金。雖然三隻松鼠在其資產負債表上具有淨現金,但仍然值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解其現金餘額的增長(或減少)速度。考慮到過去兩年,三隻松鼠實際上總體上記錄了現金流出。負債通常更昂貴,且幾乎總是在負自由現金流的公司的手中更加風險。股東們應該希望能有所改善。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Three Squirrels has CN¥102.1m in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 110% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with Three Squirrels's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Three Squirrels is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
雖然始終關注公司的總負債是明智的,但三隻松鼠擁有10210萬元的淨現金,這讓人感到很放心。我們喜歡去年的110%同比EBIT增長。因此,我們對三隻松鼠使用債務沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但最終,每個公司可能存在資產負債表外的風險。請注意,三隻松鼠在我們的投資分析中顯示出3個警告信號,你應該了解...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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