Does Hainan Mining (SHSE:601969) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Hainan Mining (SHSE:601969) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hainan Mining Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601969) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的人)曾表示,『最大投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。』在審視一家公司的風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是自然而然的,因爲債務往往與企業崩潰有關。重要的是,海南礦業股份有限公司(SHSE:601969)確實揹負債務。但這種債務對股東來說是否值得關注?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時,才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是依靠自身的現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以接管業務。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債公司因貸款人逼迫其以低迷價格籌集資本而永久性稀釋股東的股份。當然,債務在企業中可以是一個重要的工具,特別是在資本密集型企業中。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先會將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
What Is Hainan Mining's Debt?
海南礦業的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Hainan Mining had debt of CN¥2.59b, up from CN¥1.72b in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.55b in cash, leading to a CN¥961.0m net cash position.
下面的圖像,您可以點擊以獲取更詳細的信息,顯示截至2024年9月海南礦業的債務爲25.9億人民幣,比一年前的17.2億人民幣增加。但另一方面,它也有35.5億人民幣的現金,導致其淨現金狀況爲96100萬人民幣。
How Strong Is Hainan Mining's Balance Sheet?
海南礦業的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hainan Mining had liabilities of CN¥3.98b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.32b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.55b and CN¥880.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥865.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到海南礦業的負債爲397億人民幣,需在12個月內償還,超過12個月的負債爲13.2億人民幣。另一方面,它的現金爲35.5億人民幣,且88060萬人民幣的應收款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收款的總和超出86590萬。
Of course, Hainan Mining has a market capitalization of CN¥16.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Hainan Mining also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
當然,海南礦業的市值爲162億人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可控的。話雖如此,顯然我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。雖然它的負債值得注意,但海南礦業的現金多於債務,所以我們很有信心它可以安全管理其債務。
On top of that, Hainan Mining grew its EBIT by 50% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hainan Mining's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
此外,海南礦業在過去十二個月的息稅前利潤(EBIT)增長了50%,這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。毫無疑問,我們通過資產負債表對債務了解得最多。但未來的收益,尤其是更重要的,將決定海南礦業在未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的觀點,你可能會覺得這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Hainan Mining has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Hainan Mining's free cash flow amounted to 35% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。雖然海南礦業在資產負債表上有淨現金,但看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力仍然值得關注,以幫助我們理解它是多麼快速地積累(或消耗)現金餘額。在過去三年中,海南礦業的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤(EBIT)的35%,低於我們的預期。這種疲弱的現金轉化使得處理債務更加困難。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Hainan Mining has CN¥961.0m in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 50% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Hainan Mining's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hainan Mining .
雖然查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但海南礦業擁有96,100萬元的淨現金讓人感到很安心。我們對去年的年度EBIT增長50%感到滿意。因此,我們認爲海南礦業使用債務並不風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。爲此,你應該注意我們發現的海南礦業的一個警告信號。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。
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