Is Zhejiang Medicine Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600216) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?
Is Zhejiang Medicine Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600216) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?
Zhejiang Medicine (SHSE:600216) has had a rough month with its share price down 6.5%. It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Zhejiang Medicine's ROE today.
浙江醫葯(SHSE:600216)在過去一個月的表現不佳,股價下跌了6.5%。市場可能忽視了公司的不同財務數據,選擇迎合負面情緒。基本面通常決定市場結果,因此研究公司的財務狀況是有意義的。特別是,我們今天將關注浙江醫葯的ROE。
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股本回報率或ROE是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它告訴他們自己的資本是如何有效地被再投資的。簡單來說,它衡量的是公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。
How Is ROE Calculated?
淨資產收益率怎麼計算?
The formula for ROE is:
ROE的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Medicine is:
因此,基於上述公式,浙江醫葯的ROE爲:
8.1% = CN¥854m ÷ CN¥11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
8.1% = CN¥85400萬 ÷ CN¥110億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.
「回報」是過去十二個月在稅後賺取的金額。 另一種理解方式是,公司的每1元股本能夠賺取0.08元的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE爲什麼對凈利潤增長很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
到目前爲止,我們了解到ROE衡量的是公司產生利潤的效率。根據公司將這些利潤再投資或「保留」的多少,以及其效率,我們能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。一般來說,在其他條件相同的情況下,具有高股本回報率和利潤保留的公司,其增長率高於沒有這些特徵的公司。
A Side By Side comparison of Zhejiang Medicine's Earnings Growth And 8.1% ROE
浙江醫葯收益增長與8.1% ROE的對比
At first glance, Zhejiang Medicine's ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.7%. Having said that, Zhejiang Medicine has shown a meagre net income growth of 2.7% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. Hence, this does provide some context to low earnings growth seen by the company.
乍一看,浙江醫葯的ROE似乎並不太有前景。然而,進一步研究顯示該公司的ROE與行業平均水平7.7%相似。儘管如此,浙江醫葯在過去五年中凈利潤增長僅有2.7%。請記住,該公司的ROE本身也不是特別出色。因此,這提供了一些關於公司低收益增長的背景。
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Zhejiang Medicine's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 9.1% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.
接下來,在與行業凈利潤增長進行比較時,我們發現浙江醫葯報告的增長低於過去幾年的行業增長9.1%,這並不是我們希望看到的。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Zhejiang Medicine's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
爲一家公司賦值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長有關。 投資者需要判斷的接下來是預期的盈利增長,或者沒有增長,是否已經反映在股票價格中。 這樣做將幫助他們確定該股票的未來是看好還是看衰。 如果你在想浙江醫葯的估值,請查看其市盈率與其行業的比較。
Is Zhejiang Medicine Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
浙江醫葯是否有效利用其利潤?
Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 34% (implying that the company retains the remaining 66% of its income), Zhejiang Medicine's earnings growth was quite low. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
儘管浙江醫葯有着34%的中等三年中位支付比率(意味着公司保留其餘的66%的收入),但其盈利增長非常低。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在下滑。
In addition, Zhejiang Medicine has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 13% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 12% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.
此外,浙江醫葯在至少十年內一直在支付分紅,這表明即使以犧牲業務增長爲代價,保持分紅支付對於管理層來說更爲重要。 現有分析師的估計表明,預計公司未來的支付比率將在未來三年內降至13%。 公司ROE預計在同一時期內上升至12%的事實也可以通過支付比率的下降來解釋。
Summary
總結
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Zhejiang Medicine. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
總體而言,我們對浙江醫葯的看法比較複雜。雖然該公司有較高的再投資率,但低ROE意味着所有的再投資並沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且還對盈利增長產生了負面影響。也就是說,最新的行業分析師預測顯示該公司的盈利預計將加速。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的整體預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊這裏查看我們分析師對該公司的預測頁面。
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