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Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688103) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688103) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

崑山國立電子科技有限公司(SHSE:688103)的股票正在飆升,但財務狀況似乎不穩定:這種上漲趨勢會持續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  12/18 11:41

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology (SHSE:688103) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 43% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's ROE today.

崑山國立電子科技(上海證券交易所代碼:688103)在股票市場上表現良好,其股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了43%。但是,我們想知道該公司財務狀況不穩定是否會對當前的股價勢頭產生任何不利影響。特別是,我們今天將關注崑山國立電子科技的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司價值增長和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology is:

因此,根據上述公式,崑山國立電子科技的投資回報率爲:

3.5% = CN¥39m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

3.5% = 3900萬元人民幣 ÷ 11元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

「回報」 是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。因此,這意味着該公司每投資1元人民幣,就會產生0.03元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,ROE衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。然後,根據公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 的金額及其有效性,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他條件相同,與不具有相同特徵的公司相比,既有更高股本回報率又更高利潤保留率的公司通常是增長率更高的公司。

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's Earnings Growth And 3.5% ROE

崑山國立電子科技的收益增長和3.5%的投資回報率

It is quite clear that Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.4%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 15% seen by Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很明顯,崑山國立電子科技的投資回報率相當低。即使與6.4%的行業平均水平相比,投資回報率的數字也相當令人失望。因此,說崑山國立電子科技五年淨收入下降15%可能是其投資回報率降低所致,這可能沒有錯。但是,可能還有其他因素導致收益下降。例如-收益保留率低或資本配置不佳。

However, when we compared Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 10% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將崑山國立電子科技的增長與行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但同期該行業的收益增長了10%。這非常令人擔憂。

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SHSE:688103 Past Earnings Growth December 18th 2024
SHSE: 688103 過去的收益增長 2024 年 12 月 18 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。與其他公司相比,崑山國立電子科技的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

崑山國立電子科技是否在高效地將利潤再投資?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 34% (where it is retaining 66% of its profits), Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管崑山國立電子科技的三年派息率中位數正常爲34%(保留了66%的利潤),但如上所示,崑山國立電子科技的收益卻有所下降。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。

Only recently, Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology stated paying a dividend. This likely means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders have a strong preference for dividends.

就在最近,崑山國立電子科技才宣佈派發股息。這可能意味着管理層可能已經得出結論,其股東強烈偏愛分紅。

Summary

摘要

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們對崑山國立電子科技的表現有點矛盾。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。既然如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計公司的收益增長率將大幅提高。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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