Is Datang Telecom Technology (SHSE:600198) A Risky Investment?
Is Datang Telecom Technology (SHSE:600198) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Datang Telecom Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600198) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,大唐電信技術有限公司(SHSE: 600198)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
How Much Debt Does Datang Telecom Technology Carry?
大唐電信科技揹負了多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Datang Telecom Technology had CN¥250.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥158.7m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥261.7m in cash, leading to a CN¥11.1m net cash position.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年9月,大唐電信科技在一年內有25060萬元人民幣的債務,比15870萬加元人民幣有所增加。但另一方面,它也有26170萬元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲1110萬元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Datang Telecom Technology's Balance Sheet?
大唐電信科技的資產負債表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Datang Telecom Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥939.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥261.7m as well as receivables valued at CN¥909.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥890.8m.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,大唐電信科技的負債爲11.2元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲93910萬元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有26170萬元人民幣的現金以及價值90920萬元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債比其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額高出89080萬元人民幣。
Since publicly traded Datang Telecom Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥15.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Datang Telecom Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
由於公開交易的大唐電信科技股票總價值爲153元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。儘管負債可觀,但大唐電信科技擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
Although Datang Telecom Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥40m in EBIT over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Datang Telecom Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
儘管大唐電信科技在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,但也很高興看到它在過去十二個月中創造了4000萬元人民幣的息稅前利潤。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲大唐電信科技需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Datang Telecom Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last year, Datang Telecom Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。大唐電信科技的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。去年,大唐電信科技總共出現了可觀的負自由現金流。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。
Summing Up
總結一下
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Datang Telecom Technology has CN¥11.1m in net cash. So we are not troubled with Datang Telecom Technology's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Datang Telecom Technology you should be aware of.
儘管查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,大唐電信科技的淨現金爲1110萬元人民幣。因此,我們對大唐電信科技的債務使用並不感到困擾。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了你應該注意的大唐電信科技的兩個警告信號。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票的獨家清單。
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。