When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 35x, you may consider Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000819) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 62.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For instance, Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 56% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 38% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical's P/E
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Yueyang Xingchang Petro-Chemical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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