1 Stock On Sale: Why Now's the Perfect Time to Invest
1 Stock On Sale: Why Now's the Perfect Time to Invest
While the Canadian stock market is near its all-time high, there are still opportunities for investors who take the time to dig deeper. Even in a market that seems expensive, some stocks are priced attractively for those willing to explore beyond the surface.
儘管加拿大股市接近歷史新高,但對於花時間進行深入挖掘的投資者來說,仍然有機會。即使在看似昂貴的市場中,對於那些願意在地表之外進行探索的人來說,一些股票的價格也很有吸引力。
If you're holding excess savings that you don't need in the short term, stocks can offer higher long-term returns. Among them, dividend-paying stocks can provide steady income while also benefiting from potential price appreciation. One such stock that seems to be on sale right now is Premium Brands Holdings (TSX:PBH).
如果你持有短期內不需要的多餘儲蓄,股票可以提供更高的長期回報。其中,支付股息的股票可以提供穩定的收入,同時還可以受益於潛在的價格上漲。Premium Brands Holdings(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:PBH)就是其中一隻目前似乎在售的股票。
A long-term growth story with short-term challenges
具有短期挑戰的長期增長故事
Premium Brands Holdings, a packaged foods company, has been on a downward trajectory since late 2021. Over the last couple of months, it has dropped nearly 17%, extending a broader decline of over 40% from its peak several years ago. This presents an opportunity for investors who are willing to look beyond the volatility and focus on long-term potential.
自2021年底以來,包裝食品公司Premium Brands Holdings一直處於下行軌道。在過去的幾個月中,它下降了近17%,從幾年前的峯值擴大了40%以上的跌幅。這爲願意將目光投向波動之外並專注於長期潛力的投資者提供了機會。
In late 2021, Premium Brands' stock soared to about $136 per share as the company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew by an impressive 47%. However, maintaining such rapid growth is challenging, and the company faced a slowdown in the following year, with EPS growth decelerating to just 8%. As a result, the stock saw a valuation drop, with its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio shrinking from a peak of 32 to around 17 by late 2022. Currently trading just over $79 per share, the P/E ratio is now around 20, which is more in line with the company's historical levels.
2021年底,Premium Brands的股票飆升至每股約136美元,該公司調整後的每股收益(EPS)增長了47%,令人印象深刻。但是,保持如此快速的增長具有挑戰性,該公司在次年面臨放緩,每股收益增長減速至僅8%。結果,該股估值下降,到2022年底,其市盈率(P/E)從32的峯值降至17左右。目前每股交易價格略高於79美元,目前市盈率約爲20,更符合公司的歷史水平。
Strong fundamentals with room for improvement
基本面強勁,還有改進的餘地
Despite the recent stock price decline, Premium Brands' fundamentals remain solid. In its most recent quarterly report, the company showed a 2.7% year-to-year increase in the year-to-date revenue, reaching $4.8 billion. More importantly, its adjusted EBITDA – a key measure of cash flow – rose 5.5%, expanding its EBITDA margin to 9.2%.
儘管最近股價下跌,但高端品牌的基本面仍然穩健。在最新的季度報告中,該公司顯示年初至今收入同比增長2.7%,達到48億美元。更重要的是,其調整後的息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(衡量現金流的關鍵指標)增長了5.5%,將其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤率擴大至9.2%。
Earnings were up 6.3%, and EPS increased by 6.7%. However, adjusted EPS saw a decline of 7.9%, which might concern some investors. The trailing-12-month free cash flow decreased marginally by 1.1%, resulting in a payout ratio of 59%, indicating that the company is still able to comfortably support its dividend payments.
收益增長了6.3%,每股收益增長了6.7%。但是,調整後的每股收益下降了7.9%,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。過去12個月的自由現金流小幅下降了1.1%,派息率爲59%,這表明該公司仍然能夠輕鬆地支持其股息支付。
Premium Brands is also making strategic moves to free up cash, including the sale of a vacant property for $26 million and plans to sell and lease back a production facility for $92.5 million. This is part of a broader effort to streamline operations and fund future growth.
Premium Brands也在採取戰略舉措以騰出現金,包括以2600萬美元的價格出售空置物業,並計劃以9,250萬美元的價格出售和回租生產設施。這是簡化運營和爲未來增長提供資金的更廣泛努力的一部分。
A promising future and strong management commitment
光明的未來和堅定的管理承諾
Looking ahead, much of Premium Brands' growth depends on its acquisition strategy. The company's chief executive officer (CEO) highlighted that the acquisition pipeline remains strong, with several transactions expected to close this quarter. Premium Brands is targeting $10 billion in sales and a minimum adjusted EBITDA margin of 10% by 2027 – for example, driven by its focus on higher-growth categories like protein and baked goods.
展望未來,高端品牌的增長在很大程度上取決於其收購策略。該公司首席執行官(CEO)強調,收購渠道仍然強勁,預計本季度將完成幾筆交易。高端品牌的目標是到2027年實現100億美元的銷售額,調整後的最低息稅折舊攤銷前利潤率爲10%——例如,受其對蛋白質和烘焙食品等高增長類別的關注。
Management's confidence in the future is reflected in its actions: last month, four of the company's directors, including the CEO and chairman, purchased (directly, indirectly, or under their direction) $5.4 million worth of common stock at an average price of $77.82 per share. This shows that insiders believe the stock is undervalued at current prices.
管理層對未來的信心反映在其行動中:上個月,該公司的四名董事,包括首席執行官兼董事長,以每股77.82美元的平均價格購買了(直接、間接或在其指導下)價值540萬美元的普通股。這表明內部人士認爲,按當前價格計算,該股被低估了。
Additionally, the consumer staples stock offers an attractive dividend yield of nearly 4.3%, with a 10-year dividend growth rate of 9.6%. This makes it an appealing option for dividend-seeking investors looking for both income and long-term growth.
此外,必需消費品股票的股息收益率極具吸引力,接近4.3%,10年期股息增長率爲9.6%。對於尋求收入和長期增長的尋求股息的投資者來說,這使其成爲一個有吸引力的選擇。
The Foolish investor takeaway
愚蠢的投資者要點
Premium Brands Holdings might be down, but it's far from out. With a solid business model, strong management, and promising growth prospects, this stock could be a bargain at current prices. If you're looking for a dividend stock with upside potential, now might be the perfect time to explore potentially adding Premium Brands to your diversified portfolio.
高端品牌的持股量可能有所下降,但還遠未結束。憑藉穩健的商業模式、強大的管理和良好的增長前景,按當前價格計算,這隻股票可能很划算。如果您正在尋找具有上行潛力的股息股票,那麼現在可能是探索在多元化投資組合中增加優質品牌的最佳時機。