Is Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical (SZSE:300705) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical (SZSE:300705) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300705) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,湖南九典製藥有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300705)也使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
What Is Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical's Debt?
湖南九典藥業的債務是多少?
As you can see below, Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical had CN¥367.3m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥633.3m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥710.0m in cash, leading to a CN¥342.7m net cash position.
如下所示,截至2024年9月,湖南九典製藥的債務爲36730萬元人民幣,低於去年同期的63330萬加元。但另一方面,它也有71000萬元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲34270萬元人民幣。
How Strong Is Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical's Balance Sheet?
湖南九典製藥的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical had liabilities of CN¥377.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥479.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥710.0m and CN¥526.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥378.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,湖南九典製藥在12個月內到期的負債爲37770萬元人民幣,在此之後到期的負債爲47990萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有71000萬加元的現金和價值52630萬加元的應收賬款,應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多出37870萬元人民幣。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種短期流動性表明,由於其資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘,湖南九典製藥可能會輕鬆還清債務。簡而言之,湖南九典製藥的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。
On top of that, Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical grew its EBIT by 37% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
最重要的是,湖南九典製藥在過去十二個月中將其息稅前利潤增長了37%,這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定湖南九典製藥未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical's free cash flow amounted to 20% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管湖南九典製藥的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去三年中,湖南九典製藥的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的20%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,這並不好。
Summing Up
總結一下
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical has CN¥342.7m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 37% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Hunan Jiudian Pharmaceutical has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,湖南九典製藥擁有34270萬元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長37%的樣子。那麼湖南九典藥業的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,湖南九典製藥有兩個警示信號,我們認爲你應該注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司身上。讀者現在可以免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。