Despite Shrinking by CN¥589m in the Past Week, Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten (SZSE:002378) Shareholders Are Still up 78% Over 5 Years
Despite Shrinking by CN¥589m in the Past Week, Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten (SZSE:002378) Shareholders Are Still up 78% Over 5 Years
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. To wit, the Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten share price has climbed 71% in five years, easily topping the market return of 15% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 29% in the last year, including dividends.
當我們投資時,我們通常尋找表現超過市場平均水平的股票。在我們的經驗中,購買正確的股票可以顯著增加你的財富。值得指出的是,章源鎢業的股價在五年內上漲了71%,輕鬆超過了市場回報的15%(不考慮分紅派息)。然而,最近的回報不如以前那樣令人印象深刻,過去一年股票的回報僅爲29%,包括分紅派息。
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 6.6%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
由於長期表現良好,但最近回調了6.6%,讓我們檢查一下基本面是否與股價相符。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話說:短期內市場是投票機,但長期來看它是稱重機。有一個不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對公司看法的變化,就是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
During the last half decade, Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten became profitable. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd hope to see the share price to rise. Since the company was unprofitable five years ago, but not three years ago, it's worth taking a look at the returns in the last three years, too. We can see that the Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten share price is up 3.0% in the last three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 11% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 1.0% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. So you might conclude the market is a little more cautious about the stock, these days.
在過去的五年中,章源鎢業實現了盈利。這通常被視爲一個積極的信號,因此我們希望看到股價上漲。由於該公司在五年前尚未盈利,但三年前已經盈利,因此值得關注過去三年的回報。我們可以看到,章源鎢業的股價在過去三年中上漲了3.0%。與此同時,每股收益每年增長了11%。這個每股收益的增長高於同三年內股價的平均年增長率1.0%。所以你可能會得出市場目前對這隻股票有些謹慎的結論。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的每股收益(隨時間)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

We know that Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
我們知道章源鎢業最近改善了底線,但它的營業收入會增長嗎?如果你感興趣,可以查看這份免費的報告,顯示共識營業收入預測。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten, it has a TSR of 78% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包括任何剝離或折扣融資的價值,以及任何分紅,前提是假設這些分紅被再投資。可以說,TSR提供了一個關於股票產生的回報的更全面的視圖。在章源鎢業的案例中,它在過去5年中有78%的TSR。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。而且,猜測分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異,連獎品都不必猜!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 29% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 12% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten you should know about.
很高興看到章源鎢業的股東在過去一年中獲得了29%的總股東回報。當然,這包括分紅。這好於過去五年年化回報的12%,這意味着公司最近的表現更好。鑑於股價勢頭依然強勁,可能值得仔細關注這隻股票,以免錯過機會。長期跟蹤股價表現總是有趣的。但爲了更好地了解章源鎢業,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現章源鎢業的3個警告信號,你應該知道。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更傾向於查看其他公司——一個財務狀況可能更優的公司——那麼不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,它們已經證明能夠實現盈利增長。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。