0.9% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt (SHSE:603799) Shareholders Over That Period
0.9% Earnings Growth Over 3 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt (SHSE:603799) Shareholders Over That Period
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd (SHSE:603799) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 37% in the last quarter. But over the last three years we've seen a quite serious decline. In that time, the share price dropped 65%. So the improvement may be a real relief to some. While many would remain nervous, there could be further gains if the business can put its best foot forward.
華友鈷業股份有限公司(SHSE:603799)的股東無疑會非常感激看到股價在上個季度上漲了37%。但是在過去三年中,我們看到了一次相當嚴重的下跌。在此期間,股價下跌了65%。因此,這一改善可能對某些人來說是真正的解脫。雖然許多人仍然感到緊張,但如果業務能夠全力以赴,未來還有可能獲得進一步的增長。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
借用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:短期內市場是一個投票機,但長期來說它是一個稱重機。一種存在缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Although the share price is down over three years, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt actually managed to grow EPS by 2.8% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
儘管股價在三年內下跌,但華友鈷業實際上在此期間每年成功增長了2.8%的每股收益。這實在是個謎,表明可能有某些暫時因素支撐股價。或者,公司在過去被過度宣傳,因此其增長令人失望。
It looks to us like the market was probably too optimistic around growth three years ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.
在我們看來,市場在三年前可能對增長過於樂觀。查看其他指標可能更能解釋股價變化。
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 18% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
我們注意到,在三年內,營業收入實際上以18%的年增長率增長,因此這似乎不是賣出股票的理由。可能值得進一步調查華友鈷業;雖然我們可能在這個分析中遺漏了一些東西,但也可能存在機會。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)
華友鈷業是一隻知名股票,擁有大量的分析師覆蓋,顯示出對未來增長的一些可見性。因此,查看分析師認爲華友鈷業未來將賺取多少(免費的分析師共識估計)是非常有道理的。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt shareholders gained a total return of 7.8% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 3% over half a decade This suggests the company might be improving over time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
華友鈷業的股東在一年內獲得了7.8%的總回報。不幸的是,這低於市場回報。值得慶幸的是,這仍然是一個收益,而且實際上比過去五年平均3%的回報要好。這表明公司可能在不斷改善。雖然非常值得考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們發現華友鈷業有2個警告信號(1個不能忽視!),在這裏投資之前你應該了解這些。
But note: Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:華友鈷業可能不是最值得購買的股票。所以請看一下這個有趣公司的免費列表,這些公司過去的盈利增長(以及未來的增長預測)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。