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Hubei Huitian New Materials (SZSE:300041) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Hubei Huitian New Materials (SZSE:300041) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

迴天新材(深交所代碼:300041)在債務使用上承擔了一些風險。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/19 10:56

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Hubei Huitian New Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300041) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大衛·伊本說得很好,'波動性並不是我們所關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。' 在審查公司的風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是自然的,因爲債務通常與企業的崩潰有關。 我們可以看到,迴天新材(深交所代碼:300041)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這種債務帶來了多少風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時會變得危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,當一家公司無法輕易償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,要麼通過融資,要麼靠自身的自由現金流。 資本主義的一個重要方面是"創造性破壞"的過程,在這個過程中,失敗的企業會被其銀行家無情地清算。 然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情形是,公司不得不以低價籌集新股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。 當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。 當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先查看現金和債務的結合。

What Is Hubei Huitian New Materials's Net Debt?

迴天新材的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Hubei Huitian New Materials had CN¥1.96b of debt, up from CN¥1.47b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥972.9m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥990.1m.

正如您在下面看到的,到2024年9月底,迴天新材擁有債務人民幣19.6億,比一年前的人民幣14.7億有所增加。點擊圖片以獲取更多詳情。不過,它還有人民幣97290萬的現金,因此其淨債務爲人民幣99010萬。

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SZSE:300041 Debt to Equity History December 19th 2024
深交所:300041 債務與權益歷史 2024年12月19日

A Look At Hubei Huitian New Materials' Liabilities

迴天新材的負債概況

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hubei Huitian New Materials had liabilities of CN¥2.52b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.04b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥972.9m and CN¥1.91b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥666.8m.

根據最近報告的資產負債表,迴天新材的負債爲25.2億人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲10.4億人民幣。另一方面,它的現金爲97290萬人民幣,12個月內到期的應收賬款價值爲19.1億人民幣。因此,負債超過現金和(近期)應收賬款總和的66680萬人民幣。

Of course, Hubei Huitian New Materials has a market capitalization of CN¥5.40b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

當然,迴天新材的市值爲54億人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以管理的。儘管如此,很顯然,我們應該繼續監測其資產負債表,以免情況發生惡化。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過查看公司的淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及計算息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋利息費用的能力(利息保障率),來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力的情況。這種方法的優勢在於,我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(通過淨債務與EBITDA的比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息保障率)。

Hubei Huitian New Materials has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.1 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Importantly, Hubei Huitian New Materials's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 55% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hubei Huitian New Materials can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

迴天新材的債務與EBITDA的比率爲3.8,其EBIT覆蓋利息費用的次數爲5.1。這表明儘管債務水平顯著,但我們不會稱其爲有問題。重要的是,迴天新材的EBIT在過去的12個月中下降了驚人的55%。如果這種盈利趨勢持續下去,那麼償還債務將像把貓馱上過山車一樣困難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解大部分債務。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定迴天新材能否隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Hubei Huitian New Materials's free cash flow amounted to 22% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,雖然稅務官可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款方只接受冷硬的現金。因此,查看這些EBIT中有多少是由自由現金流支撐的非常重要。在過去三年中,迴天新材的自由現金流佔其EBIT的22%,低於我們的預期。這種較弱的現金轉化使得處理債務更加困難。

Our View

我們的觀點

We'd go so far as to say Hubei Huitian New Materials's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Hubei Huitian New Materials's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Hubei Huitian New Materials is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

我們可以說迴天新材的EBIT增長率令人失望。但至少它的總負債水平還算不錯。一旦我們考慮上述所有因素,似乎迴天新材的債務使其變得有些風險。這不一定是壞事,但我們通常會更希望槓桿更低。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的地方。但最終,每個公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。請注意,迴天新材在我們的投資分析中顯示出3個警告信號,您應該知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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