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Is China National Complete Plant Import & Export (SZSE:000151) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is China National Complete Plant Import & Export (SZSE:000151) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

中國國家完整植物進口與出口(SZSE:000151)是否以冒險的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/19 11:52

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies China National Complete Plant Import & Export Corporation Limited (SZSE:000151) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的)曾說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」 當我們考慮一家公司有多風險時,我們總是喜歡關注其債務的使用,因爲債務負擔過重會導致破產。 就像其他許多公司一樣,中國國營完整植物進口與出口有限公司(SZSE:000151)也在利用債務。 但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多少風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其債權人,那麼它就處於他們的控制之下。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以超低價格發行股份,永久稀釋股東的權益,僅僅是爲了增強其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務,並以自身的利益爲重。當我們審查債務水平時,首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is China National Complete Plant Import & Export's Debt?

中國國營完整植物進口與出口的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China National Complete Plant Import & Export had debt of CN¥720.8m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥934.4m over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.09b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥365.4m.

下面的圖像,您可以點擊以獲得更多詳細信息,顯示中國國營完整植物進口與出口在2024年9月底的債務爲72080萬人民幣,比一年前的93440萬人民幣有所減少。 然而,它有10.9億人民幣的現金抵消這些債務,導致淨現金爲36540萬人民幣。

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SZSE:000151 Debt to Equity History December 19th 2024
SZSE:000151 債務與股本歷史 2024年12月19日

A Look At China National Complete Plant Import & Export's Liabilities

關於中國國家完整工程進出口公司的負債情況

According to the last reported balance sheet, China National Complete Plant Import & Export had liabilities of CN¥2.00b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥95.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.09b and CN¥731.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥276.9m.

根據最新報告的資產負債表,中國國家完整工程進出口公司有負債20億人民幣,12個月內到期,超過12個月到期的負債爲9510萬人民幣。另一方面,公司有現金10.9億人民幣和73170萬人民幣的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,其負債比現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和多出27690萬人民幣。

Given China National Complete Plant Import & Export has a market capitalization of CN¥5.34b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, China National Complete Plant Import & Export boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China National Complete Plant Import & Export will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

考慮到中國國家完整工程進出口公司的市值爲53.4億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成多大威脅。然而,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強度,因爲隨時間變化可能會發生變化。儘管負債相當顯著,但中國國家完整工程進出口公司卻擁有淨現金,因此可以說它的債務負擔並不重!在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但你不能將債務完全孤立地看待;因爲中國國家完整工程進出口公司需要收益來償還這些債務。因此,如果你想更深入了解其收益,查看這張長期收益趨勢圖或許是值得的。

In the last year China National Complete Plant Import & Export had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 60%, to CN¥1.7b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在過去一年中,中國國家完整工程進出口公司在利息和稅前虧損,營業收入實際上縮減了60%,降至17億人民幣。坦白說,這並不是一個好預兆。

So How Risky Is China National Complete Plant Import & Export?

那麼,中國國家完整工程進出口公司有多大風險?

While China National Complete Plant Import & Export lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥314m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China National Complete Plant Import & Export that you should be aware of.

雖然中國國家完整工程進出口公司在息前稅(EBIT)層面上虧損,但它實際上產生了積極的自由現金流31400萬人民幣。因此,儘管它在虧損,但考慮到淨現金,它似乎沒有太多短期的資產負債表風險。隨着營業收入增長的乏力,我們真的需要看到一些積極的EBIT,才能對這項業務充滿熱情。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最能了解債務。但是,最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經發現中國國家完整工程進出口公司有一個需要注意的警示信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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