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Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300549) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300549) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

優德精密(崑山)有限公司(深交所股票代碼:300549)的股價走勢強勁,但基本面看起來疲弱:這對股票可能帶來什麼影響?
Simply Wall St ·  12/19 12:47

Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) (SZSE:300549) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 40% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s ROE in this article.

久德精密工業(崑山)(深交所代碼:300549)在股市上表現出色,過去三個月其股票上漲了顯著的40%。然而,在本文中,我們決定關注其薄弱的基本面,因爲一家企業的長期財務表現最終決定了市場結果。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究久德精密工業(崑山)的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或ROE是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本的再投資效率。簡單來說,它用於評估公司相對於其股本的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) is:

因此,根據上述公式,久德精密工業(崑山)的ROE爲:

2.6% = CN¥14m ÷ CN¥548m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

2.6% = CN¥1400萬 ÷ CN¥54800萬(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

「回報」是企業在過去一年賺取的收入。這意味着每CN¥1的股東權益,公司產生了CN¥0.03的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有何關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經知道ROE測量公司如何高效地生成利潤。基於公司選擇重新投資或「保留」其利潤的比例,我們能夠評估公司未來生成利潤的能力。假設其他所有因素保持不變,則ROE和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率也越高,與不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比。

Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

久德精密工業(崑山)的盈利增長與2.6%的ROE

As you can see, Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s five year net income decline of 4.0% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

正如您所見,久德精密工業(崑山)的ROE看起來相當弱。 不僅如此,甚至與行業平均6.3%相比,公司的ROE完全不值得一提。 因此,久德精密工業(崑山)五年的凈利潤下降了4.0%這一點並不令人驚訝,鑑於其較低的ROE。 我們相信,也可能還有其他方面在負面影響公司的盈利前景。 比如 - 低盈利留存或資本配置不當。

However, when we compared Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.3% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將久德精密工業(崑山)的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現儘管公司的盈利在萎縮,但在同一時期,行業的盈利增長達到了7.3%。 這非常令人擔憂。

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SZSE:300549 Past Earnings Growth December 19th 2024
SZSE:300549 過去的盈利增長 2024年12月19日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者需要了解市場是否已考慮公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)。這有助於他們判斷股票未來是光明還是黯淡。與其他公司相比,九德精密工業(崑山)的估值是否合理?這三個估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

九德精密工業(崑山)是否有效地再投資其利潤?

Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) has a high three-year median payout ratio of 77% (that is, it is retaining 23% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan).

九德精密工業(崑山)的三年中位數派息比率高達77%(即,它保留了23%的利潤)。這表明該公司將大部分利潤以分紅的形式支付給股東。這在一定程度上解釋了其盈利不斷縮小的原因。該業務僅剩下很少的資金用於再投資——這是一個不利於公司長期發展的惡性循環。我們的風險儀表應該包含我們爲九德精密工業(崑山)識別出的四個風險。

Moreover, Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan) has been paying dividends for eight years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,九德精密工業(崑山)已經支付了八年的分紅,這是一段相當長的時間,這表明管理層必須意識到股東即使在盈利縮小的情況下,也偏好穩定的分紅。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan). Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. To gain further insights into Jouder Precision Industry (Kunshan)'s past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

總體而言,在對久道精密工業(崑山)做出任何決策之前,我們會非常謹慎。因爲該公司在業務上的再投資不多,加上較低的ROE,看到其盈利缺乏或沒有增長並不令人驚訝。迄今爲止,我們只對該公司的增長數據進行了短期研究。要深入了解久道精密工業(崑山)過去的利潤增長,請查看過去盈利、營業收入和現金流的可視化圖表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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