Anhui Gujing Distillery (SZSE:000596) Sheds 5.4% This Week, as Yearly Returns Fall More in Line With Earnings Growth
Anhui Gujing Distillery (SZSE:000596) Sheds 5.4% This Week, as Yearly Returns Fall More in Line With Earnings Growth
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000596) share price is up 56% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 15% (ignoring dividends).
當我們投資時,我們通常尋找那些表現優於市場平均水平的股票。購買被低估的企業是獲取超額回報的一條途徑。例如,古井貢B(SZSE:000596)的股價在過去5年中上漲了56%,顯然超過了市場約15%的回報(不考慮分紅派息)。
While the stock has fallen 5.4% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
儘管這隻股票本週下跌了5.4%,但值得關注更長遠的趨勢,看看這些股票的歷史回報是否是由其基本面驅動的。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。考慮市場對公司看法變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價的變化。
During five years of share price growth, Anhui Gujing Distillery achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 19% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 9% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.
在五年的股價增長中,古井貢B實現了每股收益(EPS)年均增長19%。這個EPS增長高於股價年均增長的9%。因此,市場似乎對公司變得相對悲觀。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的圖像顯示了EPS隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
We know that Anhui Gujing Distillery has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Anhui Gujing Distillery's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
我們知道古井貢B在過去三年改善了其淨收益,但未來會怎樣?通過這份關於其資產負債表的免費報告,仔細查看古井貢B的財務健康狀況。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Anhui Gujing Distillery's TSR for the last 5 years was 66%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR則包括分紅的價值(假設已再投資)以及任何折價融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了更完整的圖景。事實證明,古井貢B在過去5年的TSR爲66%,超過了先前提到的股價回報。因此,公司支付的分紅提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Anhui Gujing Distillery shareholders are down 15% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 14%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 11% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Anhui Gujing Distillery better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Anhui Gujing Distillery (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
古井貢B的股東今年下跌了15%(即使包括分紅),但市場本身上漲了14%。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票在12個月內有時也會表現不佳。好消息是,長期股東賺錢了,在過去五年中每年獲利11%。如果基本數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,目前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。長期跟蹤股價表現總是有趣的。但要更好地理解古井貢B,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。爲此,你應該了解我們發現的古井貢B的2個警告信號(其中1個讓我們感到不太舒服)。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,你可能會通過其他地方尋找一個絕佳的投資機會。所以請查看這個我們預計將增長每股收益的公司免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。