Vince Holding Corp. (NYSE:VNCE) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 56% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last month tops off a massive increase of 121% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may still consider Vince Holding as an attractive investment with its 0.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
What Does Vince Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?
Vince Holding hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Vince Holding will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Vince Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.3%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 3.2% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.5% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 4.3%, which is not materially different.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Vince Holding's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Despite Vince Holding's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've seen that Vince Holding currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Vince Holding has 6 warning signs (and 3 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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