With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.4x in the Professional Services industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Willdan Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:WLDN) P/S ratio of 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Willdan Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Willdan Group has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Keen to find out how analysts think Willdan Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
Willdan Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 61% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.5% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 7.5%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Willdan Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
When you consider that Willdan Group's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Willdan Group, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Willdan Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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