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Is Pengxin International MiningLtd (SHSE:600490) A Risky Investment?

Is Pengxin International MiningLtd (SHSE:600490) A Risky Investment?

鵬欣國際礦業有限公司(SHSE:600490)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  12/21 07:00

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600490) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,鵬欣國際礦業有限公司, Ltd(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600490)使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Pengxin International MiningLtd Carry?

鵬欣國際礦業有限公司揹負了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Pengxin International MiningLtd had debt of CN¥681.5m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥817.6m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥990.5m in cash, so it actually has CN¥308.9m net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年9月底,鵬欣國際礦業有限公司的債務爲68150萬加元人民幣,較一年內的81760萬加元有所減少。但是,其資產負債表顯示它持有99050萬元人民幣的現金,因此它實際上有30890萬元的淨現金。

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SHSE:600490 Debt to Equity History December 20th 2024
SHSE: 600490 2024 年 12 月 20 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Pengxin International MiningLtd's Liabilities

看看鵬欣國際礦業有限公司的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Pengxin International MiningLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.65b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥140.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥990.5m and CN¥178.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥616.3m.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,鵬欣國際礦業有限公司的負債爲16.5元人民幣,將在一年內到期,在此之後到期的負債爲14050萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的99050萬元現金和價值17890萬元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債比其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額高出61630萬元人民幣。

Of course, Pengxin International MiningLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥8.41b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Pengxin International MiningLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Pengxin International MiningLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

當然,鵬欣國際礦業有限公司的市值爲84.1元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。儘管鵬欣國際礦業有限公司確實有值得注意的負債,但其現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是鵬欣國際礦業有限公司的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Over 12 months, Pengxin International MiningLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥4.5b, which is a fall of 29%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在過去的12個月中,鵬欣國際礦業有限公司在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入下降至45元人民幣,下降了29%。至少可以說,這讓我們緊張萬億美元。

So How Risky Is Pengxin International MiningLtd?

那麼鵬欣國際礦業有限公司的風險有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year Pengxin International MiningLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥444m and booked a CN¥181m accounting loss. However, it has net cash of CN¥308.9m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Pengxin International MiningLtd that you should be aware of.

從統計學上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。說實話,去年鵬欣國際礦業有限公司出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負44400萬元人民幣,出現了18100萬元人民幣的會計虧損。但是,它的淨現金爲30890萬元人民幣,因此在需要更多資金之前還有一段時間。總的來說,我們會說這隻股票有點風險,在看到正的自由現金流之前,我們通常會非常謹慎。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經爲鵬欣國際礦業有限公司確定了一個警告標誌,你應該注意這個標誌。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好專注於沒有淨負債的公司。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長的記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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