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Health Check: How Prudently Does Powerlong Real Estate Holdings (HKG:1238) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Powerlong Real Estate Holdings (HKG:1238) Use Debt?

健康檢查:寶龍地產(HKG:1238)在多大程度上謹慎使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  12/21 07:43

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Limited (HKG:1238) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,寶龍房地產控股有限公司(HKG: 1238)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Carry?

寶龍房地產控股公司揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, Powerlong Real Estate Holdings had CN¥58.4b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥60.9b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥6.54b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥51.9b.

如下所示,截至2024年6月,寶龍房地產控股的債務爲584元人民幣,低於去年同期的609元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲65.4元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲519元人民幣。

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SEHK:1238 Debt to Equity History December 20th 2024
SEHK: 1238 2024 年 12 月 20 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Powerlong Real Estate Holdings' Balance Sheet?

寶龍房地產控股公司的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Powerlong Real Estate Holdings had liabilities of CN¥114.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥39.1b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.54b as well as receivables valued at CN¥14.8b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥132.4b.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,寶龍房地產控股的負債爲1146元人民幣,將在一年內到期,在此之後到期的負債爲391元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有65.4元人民幣的現金以及價值148元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額1324元人民幣。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥1.71b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Powerlong Real Estate Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Powerlong Real Estate Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這筆赤字給這家17.1元人民幣的公司蒙上了陰影,就像一個聳立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。畢竟,如果寶龍房地產控股公司今天必須向債權人付款,則可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定寶龍房地產控股公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

In the last year Powerlong Real Estate Holdings's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

去年,寶龍房地產控股的收入相當持平,息稅前利潤爲負。雖然這還不錯,但我們希望看到增長。

Caveat Emptor

警告 Emptor

Over the last twelve months Powerlong Real Estate Holdings produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥1.3b. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥5.4b in the last year. So we're not very excited about owning this stock. Its too risky for us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Powerlong Real Estate Holdings that you should be aware of.

在過去的十二個月中,寶龍房地產控股公司出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。其息稅前利潤虧損高達13元人民幣。考慮到這一點以及龐大的總負債,很難知道該股該說些什麼,因爲我們對這隻股票非常不感興趣。當然,該公司可能會有一個關於他們如何走向更光明未來的好故事。但現實是,與負債相比,它的流動資產不足,去年損失了54元人民幣。因此,我們對擁有這隻股票並不感到興奮。這對我們來說風險太大了。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經爲寶龍房地產控股確定了3個警告信號,你應該注意這些信號。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票的獨家清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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