Does Nanjing Tanker (SHSE:601975) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Nanjing Tanker (SHSE:601975) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Nanjing Tanker Corporation (SHSE:601975) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍華德·馬克斯很恰當地說,'我擔心的風險是永久性損失的可能性……每個我認識的實用投資者也都對此感到擔憂。' 在審視一家公司風險時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲當企業倒閉時往往涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,招商南油(SHSE:601975)也利用債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是用自己的現金流。資本主義的一部分是『創造性破壞』的過程,在這個過程中,失敗的企業會被其銀行毫不留情地清算。然而,更常見(但仍然是痛苦的)情況是,公司不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性稀釋股東。不過,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高收益率進行投資的企業的極好工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先需要查看其現金和債務的結合情況。
How Much Debt Does Nanjing Tanker Carry?
招商南油有多少債務?
As you can see below, Nanjing Tanker had CN¥1.37b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥1.86b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥4.77b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.39b net cash position.
正如你在下面看到的,招商南油截至2024年9月的債務爲13.7億人民幣,比前一年的18.6億人民幣減少。但另一方面,它還有47.7億人民幣的現金,從而形成了33.9億人民幣的淨現金頭寸。
A Look At Nanjing Tanker's Liabilities
招商南油的負債概況
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nanjing Tanker had liabilities of CN¥960.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.32b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.77b as well as receivables valued at CN¥749.2m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥3.23b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
深入分析最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到招商南油的負債爲96020萬人民幣,預計在12個月內到期的負債爲13.2億人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它擁有現金47.7億人民幣以及在12個月內到期的應收賬款價值爲74920萬人民幣。因此,它實際上擁有比總負債多32.3億人民幣的流動資產。
It's good to see that Nanjing Tanker has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Nanjing Tanker boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
很高興看到招商南油在其資產負債表上擁有充足的流動性,這表明其在債務管理上比較謹慎。鑑於其短期流動性充足,我們認爲它不會與貸方出現任何問題。簡而言之,招商南油擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說它的債務負擔並不重!
Nanjing Tanker's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nanjing Tanker can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
招商南油的息稅前利潤(EBIT)在過去一年基本持平,但考慮到它的債務不多,這不應該成爲問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定招商南油是否能隨着時間的推移強化其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,顯示分析師的盈利預測。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Nanjing Tanker may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Nanjing Tanker recorded free cash flow worth 77% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我們最後的考慮也是很重要的,因爲一家公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要真實的現金。招商南油的資產負債表可能有淨現金,但仍然有必要看看這家公司將其息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在最近的三年中,招商南油記錄的自由現金流佔其EBIT的77%,這是正常的,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。這一自由現金流使公司在適當的時候能夠還清債務。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nanjing Tanker has CN¥3.39b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.1b, being 77% of its EBIT. So is Nanjing Tanker's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Nanjing Tanker, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
雖然調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,招商南油有33.9億元的淨現金和看起來不錯的資產負債表。 而且它以21億元的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其EBIT的77%。 那麼,招商南油的債務是否構成風險?在我們看來似乎沒有。 隨着時間的推移,股價往往跟隨每股收益的變化,因此如果你對招商南油感興趣,你可能想點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
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