Is Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group (SHSE:600210) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group (SHSE:600210) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600210) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他提到,與其擔心股票價格的波動,不如擔心「永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險……每一個我認識的實用投資者也都在擔心這個。」所以,聰明的錢知道,債務——通常與破產有關——在評估一家公司風險時是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,紫江企業集團有限公司(SHSE:600210)確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否讓公司變得有風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其貸款者,那麼它就處於他們的任意之下。資本主義的一部分是'創造性毀滅'的過程,失敗的企業會被其銀行家無情清算。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以超低價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,僅僅是爲了改善其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處在於它通常表現爲廉價資本,特別是當它在能夠以高回報率再投資的公司中替代稀釋時。當我們檢視債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group's Debt?
紫江企業集團的債務是什麼?
As you can see below, Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group had CN¥3.57b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥3.85b a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.33b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.25b.
正如您在下面看到的,紫江企業集團在2024年9月的債務爲35.7億人民幣,比去年減少了38.5億人民幣。另一方面,它有23.3億人民幣的現金,導致淨債務約爲12.5億人民幣。
How Strong Is Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group's Balance Sheet?
紫江企業的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group had liabilities of CN¥6.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.52b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.33b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.10b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.77b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到紫江企業的負債爲66.8億人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲15.2億人民幣。抵消這些義務的是,紫江企業有23.3億人民幣的現金以及21億人民幣的應收款項,這些應收款項在12個月內到期。所以,紫江企業的負債總額比現金和短期應收款項的總和多出37.7億人民幣。
Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group has a market capitalization of CN¥10.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
紫江企業的市值爲104億人民幣,因此如果需要的話,它很可能能夠籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。然而,仔細考查其償債能力仍然很有意義。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
爲了評估一家公司的債務相對於其收益的情況,我們計算其淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及息稅利潤(EBIT)與利息費用(即利息覆蓋)的比率。這種方法的優點在於我們同時考慮到債務的絕對數額(使用淨債務與EBITDA的比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息支出(使用利息覆蓋率)。
Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.99. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 45.5 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Fortunately, Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group grew its EBIT by 6.5% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
紫江企業的淨債務與EBITDA的比率僅爲0.99,屬於較低水平。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋了利息支出,達到了利息支出的45.5倍。因此,你可以說它的債務威脅並不比一頭大象被一隻老鼠威脅更多。幸運的是,紫江企業在過去一年中EBIT增長了6.5%,這使得債務負擔看起來更加可控。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個明顯的起點。但未來的收益,勝過一切,將決定紫江企業未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。所以如果你關注未來,可以查看這個免費的報告,了解分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 81% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最後,一項業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤無法滿足這一需求。因此,值得檢查一下EBIT中有多少是由自由現金流支撐的。在過去的三年中,紫江企業產生的自由現金流佔其EBIT的比例高達81%,遠超我們的預期。這使得如果需要償還債務,它的償還能力相對較好。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group you should be aware of.
好消息是,紫江企業展現了其用EBIT覆蓋利息費用的能力,這讓我們像小狗讓幼兒開心一樣。 而這僅僅是好消息的開始,因爲其EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力也令人鼓舞。 當我們考慮上述各種因素時,紫江企業在使用債務方面看起來相當明智。 這意味着他們承擔了一定的風險,希望能提高股東回報。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中可以學到關於債務的大部分知識。 但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。 舉個例子:我們發現了一個你應該注意的紫江企業的警告信號。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。