The Past Five Years for Fosun International (HKG:656) Investors Has Not Been Profitable
The Past Five Years for Fosun International (HKG:656) Investors Has Not Been Profitable
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Fosun International Limited (HKG:656) share price up 12% in a single quarter. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. Indeed, the share price is down 60% in the period. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. But it could be that the fall was overdone.
雖然這對一些股東來說可能不夠,但我們認爲看到復星國際(HKG:656)的股價在一個季度上漲12%是件好事。但別羨慕持股者——回顧過去五年,回報實際上非常糟糕。實際上,在這段時間內,股價下跌了60%。所以我們對短期的上漲持謹慎態度。但這可能是因爲下跌過度。
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
由於股東在長期內處於虧損狀態,我們來看看這段時間內的基本面,看看它們是否與回報一致。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映的是投資者情緒,而不僅僅是基礎業務表現。查看公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動,可以檢視市場情緒是如何隨時間而變化的。
During five years of share price growth, Fosun International moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
在五年的股價增長中,復星國際從虧損轉爲盈利。這通常會被視爲積極的信號,因此我們對股價下跌感到驚訝。其他指標可能會更好地幫助我們了解其價值隨時間的變化情況。
The modest 0.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 9.4% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.
適度的0.8%分紅派息收益率不太可能引導市場對該股票的看法。與股價相比,過去五年營業收入實際上每年增長了9.4%。因此,似乎需要更仔細地查看基本面,以了解爲什麼股價低迷。畢竟,可能存在機會。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的圖像顯示了收益和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(如果點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
We know that Fosun International has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Fosun International stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
我們知道復星國際最近改善了其盈利能力,但未來會怎樣呢?如果你考慮買入或賣出復星國際股票,你應該查看這份免費的報告,裏面展示了分析師的盈利預測。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Fosun International, it has a TSR of -56% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮到任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報是非常重要的。總股東回報(TSR)包含了任何分拆或折扣融資的價值,以及任何分紅,假設這些分紅是再投資的。可以說,TSR提供了更全面的股票回報生成情況。就復星國際而言,它在過去5年的TSR爲-56%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是由於其分紅派息造成的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Fosun International shareholders are up 6.0% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 9% endured over half a decade. It could well be that the business is stabilizing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Fosun International better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Fosun International that you should be aware of.
復星國際的股東在今年上漲了6.0%(即使包括分紅派息)。不幸的是,這仍然低於市場回報。 好消息是,這仍然是一個收益,當然比過去五年大約9%的年度虧損要好得多。 這可能意味着業務正在穩定。 長期跟蹤股票價格表現總是很有趣。但爲了更好地了解復星國際,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。 例如,我們已經識別出復星國際的1個警告信號,你應該注意。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更傾向於查看其他公司——一個財務狀況可能更優的公司——那麼不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,它們已經證明能夠實現盈利增長。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。