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Pulling Back 7.3% This Week, Glacier Bancorp's NYSE:GBCI) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 7.3% This Week, Glacier Bancorp's NYSE:GBCI) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

在本週下跌7.3%後,冰川萬通金控(紐交所:GBCI)的年度盈利下降可能正在引起投資者的關注。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/23 19:08

Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:GBCI) shareholders have seen the share price descend 14% over the month. But at least the stock is up over the last year. But to be blunt its return of 20% fall short of what you could have got from an index fund (around 25%).

冰川萬通金控,Inc. (紐交所:GBCI) 的股東們在過去一個月看到股價下跌了14%。但至少這隻股票在過去一年裏是上漲的。然而坦率來說,其20%的回報率還是低於你從指數基金(大約25%)中獲得的收益。

In light of the stock dropping 7.3% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive one-year return.

考慮到這隻股票在過去一週下跌了7.3%,我們想調查更長遠的情況,看看基本面是否是公司一年積極回報的驅動因素。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

無可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務的表現。一種檢查市場情緒隨時間變化的方法是觀察公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

Over the last twelve months, Glacier Bancorp actually shrank its EPS by 28%.

在過去的十二個月裏,冰川萬通金控的每股收益實際上下降了28%。

So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.

所以我們認爲投資者並沒有過多關注每股收益。因此,目前看來,投資者更看重其他指標。

Glacier Bancorp's revenue actually dropped 5.1% over last year. So using a snapshot of key business metrics doesn't give us a good picture of why the market is bidding up the stock.

冰川萬通金控的營業收入實際上比去年下降了5.1%。因此,僅僅通過關鍵業務指標的快照並不能很好地說明市場爲何在抬高股票價格。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的圖像中查看收益和營業收入隨時間的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

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NYSE:GBCI Earnings and Revenue Growth December 23rd 2024
紐交所:GBCI 每股收益和營業收入增長 2024年12月23日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Glacier Bancorp

值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。但雖然CEO的報酬始終值得關注,但真正重要的問題是公司在未來是否能增加每股收益。這份免費的報告顯示了分析師的預測,應能幫助你形成對冰川萬通金控的看法。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Glacier Bancorp the TSR over the last 1 year was 24%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報是很重要的。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而總股東回報包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)和任何折扣資本籌集或剝離的好處。因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司,總股東回報通常遠高於股價回報。我們注意到,對於冰川萬通金控,過去1年的總股東回報爲24%,這比上述提到的股價回報要好。公司支付的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Glacier Bancorp provided a TSR of 24% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 5% per year. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Glacier Bancorp .

冰川萬通金控在一年內提供了24%的總回報率(包括分紅派息)。這與更廣泛的市場回報相當接近。這項收益看起來相當令人滿意,甚至超過了五年每年5%的總回報率。儘管股價可能放緩,但管理層的前瞻性可能會帶來未來的增長。長期來看,觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理指標非常有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞見,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,您應該意識到我們發現的冰川萬通金控的2個警告信號。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更傾向於查看其他公司——一個財務狀況可能更優的公司——那麼不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,它們已經證明能夠實現盈利增長。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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