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Is Weakness In Eastman Chemical Company (NYSE:EMN) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Is Weakness In Eastman Chemical Company (NYSE:EMN) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

伊士曼化工公司(紐交所:EMN)股價疲軟是否意味着市場可能錯判了其強勁的財務前景?
Simply Wall St ·  12/23 20:05

It is hard to get excited after looking at Eastman Chemical's (NYSE:EMN) recent performance, when its stock has declined 17% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Eastman Chemical's ROE today.

看了伊士曼化學(紐約證券交易所代碼:EMN)最近的表現,很難感到興奮,當時其股票在過去三個月中下跌了17%。但是,如果你密切關注,你可能會發現,鑑於市場通常會獎勵財務狀況良好的公司,其強勁的財務狀況可能意味着該股的長期價值可能會增加。特別是,我們今天將關注伊士曼化學的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或投資回報率是評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵衡量標準。換句話說,它揭示了該公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Eastman Chemical is:

因此,根據上述公式,伊士曼化學的投資回報率爲:

16% = US$888m ÷ US$5.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

16% = 8.88億美元 ÷ 57億美元(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.16 in profit.

「回報」 是指公司去年的收益。另一種思考方式是,每持有價值1美元的股權,該公司就能獲得0.16美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,根據公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 的金額及其有效性,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他條件相同,與不具有相同特徵的公司相比,既有更高股本回報率又更高利潤保留率的公司通常是增長率更高的公司。

Eastman Chemical's Earnings Growth And 16% ROE

伊士曼化學的收益增長和16%的投資回報率

To start with, Eastman Chemical's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 10%. Probably as a result of this, Eastman Chemical was able to see a decent growth of 7.8% over the last five years.

首先,伊士曼化學的投資回報率看起來可以接受。此外,該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的10%相比相當不錯。可能正因爲如此,伊士曼化學在過去五年中得以實現7.8%的可觀增長。

Next, on comparing Eastman Chemical's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 9.5% over the last few years.

接下來,在將伊士曼化學的淨收入增長與該行業進行比較時,我們發現該公司報告的增長與過去幾年9.5%的行業平均增長率相似。

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NYSE:EMN Past Earnings Growth December 23rd 2024
紐約證券交易所:EMN過去的收益增長 2024年12月23日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Eastman Chemical's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論情況如何,投資者都應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。如果你想知道伊士曼化學的估值,可以看看這個衡量其與行業相比的市盈率指標。

Is Eastman Chemical Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

伊士曼化學是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Eastman Chemical has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 45% (or a retention ratio of 55%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

伊士曼化學(Eastman Chemical)的三年中位派息率適中,爲45%(或55%的留存率),再加上我們在上面看到的可觀的收益增長,這意味着該公司一直在有效利用其利潤。

Additionally, Eastman Chemical has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 35% over the next three years. Despite the lower expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

此外,伊士曼化學已在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着該公司非常認真地與股東分享利潤。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年降至35%。儘管預期派息率較低,但該公司的投資回報率預計不會有太大變化。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with Eastman Chemical's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對伊士曼化學的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡該公司以高回報率再投資其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致該公司的收益大幅增長。既然如此,分析師的最新預測顯示,該公司的收益將繼續擴大。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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