There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About General Dynamics' (NYSE:GD) Returns On Capital
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About General Dynamics' (NYSE:GD) Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at General Dynamics (NYSE:GD), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
如果我們想要識別下一個多倍回報的股票,有幾個關鍵趨勢需要關注。首先,我們希望識別一個日益增長的資本回報率 (ROCE),以及不斷增加的資本基礎。如果你看到這些,通常意味着這是一個擁有良好商業模式和大量盈利再投資機會的公司。不過,當我們查看通用動力 (紐交所:GD) 時,它似乎並沒有滿足所有這些條件。
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
資本回報率(ROCE):它是什麼?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for General Dynamics:
對於那些不確定什麼是ROCE的人,它衡量的是公司能夠從投入的資本中產生的稅前利潤。分析師使用以下公式來計算通用動力的ROCE:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
資本利用率 = 利息和稅前利潤(EBIT) ÷ (總資產 - 流動負債)
0.12 = US$4.5b ÷ (US$57b - US$20b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
0.12 = US$45億 ÷ (US$570億 - US$20億) (基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月數據)。
So, General Dynamics has an ROCE of 12%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.6% generated by the Aerospace & Defense industry.
因此,通用動力的資本回報率爲12%。就其自身而言,這是一個標準回報,然而,它遠好於航空航太和國防行業產生的9.6%。
Above you can see how the current ROCE for General Dynamics compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering General Dynamics for free.
您可以看到通用動力目前的資本回報率(ROCE)與其過去的資本回報率相比,但從過去能知道的信息有限。如果您願意,可以免費查看分析師對通用動力的預測。
What Does the ROCE Trend For General Dynamics Tell Us?
通用動力的ROCE趨勢告訴我們什麼?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at General Dynamics, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 15% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
當我們查看通用動力的ROCE趨勢時,並沒有獲得太多信心。具體來說,ROCE在過去五年中已降至15%。然而,考慮到投入的資本和營業收入都在增加,這表明該業務目前正在追求增長,導致短期回報受到影響。如果增加的資本能夠帶來額外回報,那麼該業務以及股東在長期內都會受益。
Our Take On General Dynamics' ROCE
我們對通用動力ROCE的看法
While returns have fallen for General Dynamics in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 69% to shareholders over the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
儘管近期通用動力的回報有所下降,但我們欣慰地看到,銷售正在增長,並且該業務正在對其運營進行再投資。而該股票在過去五年中爲股東帶來了69%的可觀回報。因此,雖然基本趨勢可能已經被投資者考慮,但我們仍然認爲這隻股票值得進一步關注。
If you're still interested in General Dynamics it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation for GD to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.
如果您仍然對通用動力感興趣,不妨查看我們免費的GD內在價值估算,以了解其是否在其他方面的價格具有吸引力。
While General Dynamics may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
儘管通用動力目前可能沒有獲得最高的回報,我們彙總了當前回報率超過25%的公司名單。點擊這裏查看這份免費名單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。