We Think Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group (SHSE:600662) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group (SHSE:600662) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600662) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過,『波動性遠非與風險同義。』所以,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,很明顯你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。和許多其他公司一樣,上海外服控股集團有限公司(SHSE:600662)也利用債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務在業務中起幫助作用,直到企業在新資本或自由現金流方面難以償還它。最終,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,公司不得不以低價籌集新股本,從而永久性地攤薄股東的股份。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,特別是在資本密集型企業中。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。
What Is Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group's Net Debt?
上海外服控股集團的淨債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group had CN¥805.7m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥1.00b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥9.20b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥8.39b.
您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示到2024年9月,上海外服控股集團的債務爲80570萬人民幣,較一年前的10億人民幣有所下降。然而,它有92億人民幣的現金抵消這部分債務,導致淨現金爲83.9億人民幣。
A Look At Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group's Liabilities
上海外服控股集團的負債分析
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group had liabilities of CN¥10.2b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥137.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥9.20b and CN¥2.71b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.59b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,上海外服控股集團在一年內的負債爲102億人民幣,且在此之後的負債爲13710萬元人民幣。另一方面,它的現金爲92億人民幣,且一年內到期的應收款項價值爲27.1億人民幣。因此,它可以自豪地表示,流動資產比總負債多出15.9億人民幣。
This surplus suggests that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這一盈餘表明,上海外服控股集團有着保守的資產負債表,可能能夠輕鬆消除其債務。簡單來說,上海外服控股集團現金多於債務,說明它能夠安全地管理其債務。
But the other side of the story is that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group saw its EBIT decline by 4.9% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
但另一方面,上海外服控股集團的EBIT在過去一年中下降了4.9%。如果收益繼續以這種速度下降,公司可能會在管理債務負擔方面面臨越來越大的困難。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點。然而,最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定上海外服控股集團能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這個免費報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤無法滿足需求。雖然上海外服控股集團的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得我們關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解其現金餘額的積累(或減少)速度。在最近的三年中,上海外服控股集團記錄的自由現金流佔其EBIT的56%,考慮到自由現金流不包括利息和稅,這大約是正常水平。這一自由現金流使公司在適當時候能夠很好地償還債務。
Summing Up
總結
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group has net cash of CN¥8.39b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So is Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
雖然我們理解對債務感到擔憂的投資者,但你應該記住,上海外服控股集團的淨現金爲83.9億人民幣,流動資產也多於負債。 那麼,上海外服控股集團的債務是風險嗎?在我們看來似乎不是。 資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每個公司都可能含有表外風險。 我們已經識別出上海外服控股集團的2個警告信號,理解這些信號應成爲你投資過程的一部分。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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