Is XBiotech (NASDAQ:XBIT) A Risky Investment?
Is XBiotech (NASDAQ:XBIT) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that XBiotech Inc. (NASDAQ:XBIT) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理李露(查理·芒格支持的人)曾說過,'最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多危險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致破產。我們可以看到,XBiotech Inc.(納斯達克:XBIT)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但股東應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是用自己的現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款方可能會接管企業。雖然這並不常見,但我們常常看到負債公司因貸款方強迫其以困境價格籌集資金而永久稀釋股東權益。當然,債務可以是企業中的一個重要工具,特別是對資本需求較高的企業。在考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務結合起來考慮。
What Is XBiotech's Net Debt?
XBiotech的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 XBiotech had debt of US$10.0m, up from none in one year. But it also has US$183.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$173.1m net cash.
下圖可點擊查看詳細信息,顯示到2024年9月,XBiotech的債務爲1000萬美元,比一年前的零有了增長。但它也有18310萬美元的現金來抵消這部分債務,這意味着它的淨現金爲17310萬美元。
How Strong Is XBiotech's Balance Sheet?
XBiotech的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that XBiotech had liabilities of US$16.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.74m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$183.1m in cash and US$871.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$166.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,XBiotech的短期負債爲1600萬美元,長期負債爲174萬美元。 相抵之下,它擁有18310萬美元的現金和87.1萬美元的應收賬款,這些將在12個月內到期。因此,它可以自豪地稱其流動資產比總負債多16630萬美元。
This surplus strongly suggests that XBiotech has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that XBiotech has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is XBiotech's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
這項盈餘強烈表明XBiotech的資產負債表堅如磐石(債務絲毫不成問題)。 鑑於這一事實,我們認爲其資產負債表強勁得像牛。 簡而言之,XBiotech擁有的現金多於債務,無疑是其安全管理債務的良好指標。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個明顯的起點。 但影響資產負債表未來表現的將是XBiotech的收入。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收入趨勢。 點擊這裏查看互動快照。
Since XBiotech doesn't have significant operating revenue, shareholders may be hoping it comes up with a great new product, before it runs out of money.
由於XBiotech沒有顯著的營業收入,股東可能希望它能推出一款好新產品,在用完資金之前。
So How Risky Is XBiotech?
那麼XBiotech的風險有多大?
By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that XBiotech had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$29m and booked a US$33m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the US$173.1m on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for XBiotech (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
從本質上講,虧損的公司比那些長期盈利的公司風險更大。 我們注意到XBiotech在過去一年中有利息和稅前(EBIT)虧損。 在同一期間,它經歷了2900萬美元的負自由現金流出,並記入3300萬美元的會計損失。 但是,拯救的好消息是資產負債表上的17310萬美元。 這意味着它可以以當前的支出速度繼續兩年以上。 總的來說,其資產負債表目前似乎並不過於風險,但在看到積極的自由現金流之前我們總是保持謹慎。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解最多關於債務的信息。 然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。 例如,我們發現了XBiotech的三個警告信號(兩個令人擔憂!),在這裏投資之前你應該注意這些。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。
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