Despite an already strong run, Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000995) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Beverage industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 4.8x, you may consider Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 19.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd Performed Recently?
Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.5% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 84% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's P/S
Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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